Sport Picks
UD San Fernando vs Union Viera
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 
Match Events
44'
44'
Galvan C.
55'
55'
Carnevali A.
64'
64'
Serbourdin S.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 game between UD San Fernando and Union Viera finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD San Fernando.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UD San Fernando
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- UD San Fernando carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans UD San Fernando's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and UD San Fernando have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
UD San Fernando Clean Sheet 68%
Union Viera Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UD San Fernando | Union Viera |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 39 | 32 |
| Wins | 23 | 5 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 6 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.64 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.67 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD San Fernando vs Union Viera
4:1
Nov 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Viera vs UD San Fernando
0:2
Mar 31, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD San Fernando vs Union Viera
3:0
Dec 17, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Viera vs UD San Fernando
0:3
Feb 28, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Viera vs UD San Fernando
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
UD San Fernando Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodriguez Alonso J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Galvan C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Union Viera Compare
Top Goalscorer Carnevali A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
UD San Fernando 95 / 100
Union Viera 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
UD San Fernando Union Viera
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick UD San Fernando Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
UD San Fernando scored in 87% of their last 39 games.
Union Viera let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
UD San Fernando has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
UD San Fernando VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
UD San Fernando
(Home) 20 Sept
UD San Fernando
5 : 0 UD Playas de Sotavento
12 Sept
CD Laguna
0 : 3 UD San Fernando
08 Sept
UD San Fernando
1 : 3 Orihuela
07 Jun
UD San Fernando
1 : 1 Tamaraceite
30 May
Tamaraceite
3 : 0 UD San Fernando
Page 1 of 8
20 Sept
UD San Fernando
5 : 0 UD Playas de Sotavento
08 Sept
UD San Fernando
1 : 3 Orihuela
07 Jun
UD San Fernando
1 : 1 Tamaraceite
24 May
UD San Fernando
1 : 2 Panaderia
03 May
UD San Fernando
5 : 0 Tenerife C
Page 1 of 4
Union Viera
(Away) 10 May
Union Viera
4 : 6 San Bartolome
04 May
CD Santa Ursula
2 : 0 Union Viera
26 Apr
Union Viera
2 : 0 CD Buzanada
17 Apr
CD Marino
1 : 0 Union Viera
12 Apr
Union Viera
1 : 3 Mensajero
Page 1 of 7
04 May
CD Santa Ursula
2 : 0 Union Viera
17 Apr
CD Marino
1 : 0 Union Viera
06 Apr
Lanzarote
4 : 0 Union Viera
23 Mar
UD San Fernando
4 : 1 Union Viera
01 Mar
San Miguel
1 : 2 Union Viera
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Las Palmas B | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 66:17 | 76 |
| 2 | UD San Fernando | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 58:20 | 73 |
| 3 | Tamaraceite | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 48:29 | 63 |
| 4 | Ibarra | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 49:40 | 59 |
| 5 | Mensajero | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 50:37 | 56 |
| 6 | Lanzarote | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 56:33 | 55 |
| 7 | Panaderia | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 45:39 | 50 |
| 8 | CD Marino | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 43:45 | 47 |
| 9 | Arucas | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 38:36 | 45 |
| 10 | San Bartolome | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 43:35 | 45 |
| 11 | Villa Santa Brigida | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 34:42 | 41 |
| 12 | Herbania | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 33:41 | 40 |
| 13 | CD Santa Ursula | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 29:42 | 40 |
| 14 | San Miguel | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 36:54 | 37 |
| 15 | CD Buzanada | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 27:54 | 32 |
| 16 | Estrella | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 30:57 | 30 |
| 17 | Los Llanos | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 25:52 | 28 |
| 18 | Union Viera | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 28:65 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
