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UD San Fernando vs Villa Santa Brigida - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UD San Fernando host Villa Santa Brigida in the Tercera RFEF - Group 12. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: UD San Fernando at 1.56 goals for, 0.62 against; Villa Santa Brigida at 1.16 for, 1.19 against. Head-to-head, UD San Fernando have won 4 to Villa Santa Brigida's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 1, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.19) point toward UD San Fernando. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
UD San Fernando
30%
Draws
28%
Villa Santa Brigida
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: UD San Fernando

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UD San Fernando lately — more wins on the board than Villa Santa Brigida.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on UD San Fernando taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and UD San Fernando have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
UD San Fernando Clean Sheet 20%
Villa Santa Brigida Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD San Fernando Villa Santa Brigida
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 19 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.56 1.16
Goals Conceded 0.62 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Villa Santa Brigida vs UD San Fernando
0:2
Nov 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD San Fernando vs Villa Santa Brigida
2:1
Mar 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD San Fernando vs Villa Santa Brigida
2:0
Nov 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Villa Santa Brigida vs UD San Fernando
0:2
May 21, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD San Fernando vs Villa Santa Brigida
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD San Fernando 85 / 100
Villa Santa Brigida 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD San Fernando Villa Santa Brigida

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD San Fernando Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD San Fernando scored in 79% of their last 34 games.

Defensive concern: Villa Santa Brigida conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: UD San Fernando stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UD San Fernando VS Villa Santa Brigida
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UD San Fernando

(Home)
04 Oct
UD San Fernando
3 : 0
Estrella
26 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 0
UD San Fernando
20 Sept
UD San Fernando
5 : 0
UD Playas de Sotavento
12 Sept
CD Laguna
0 : 3
UD San Fernando
08 Sept
UD San Fernando
1 : 3
Orihuela
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Villa Santa Brigida

(Away)
09 Oct
Villa Santa Brigida
1 : 1
Las Palmas C
03 Oct
San Bartolome
1 : 1
Villa Santa Brigida
26 Sept
Villa Santa Brigida
2 : 0
Villaverde Norte
19 Sept
San Miguel
3 : 1
Villa Santa Brigida
12 Sept
Villa Santa Brigida
0 : 0
Anaza
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD San Fernando 4 3 0 1 11:2 9
2 Real Union Tenerife 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
3 Mensajero 4 3 0 1 4:2 9
4 San Bartolome 4 2 2 0 7:4 8
5 CD Marino 4 2 1 1 12:6 7
6 Las Palmas C 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
7 San Miguel 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
8 Panaderia 4 2 1 1 10:8 7
9 Los Llanos 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
10 Lanzarote 4 1 3 0 5:4 6
11 Villa Santa Brigida 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
12 Tenerife C 4 1 1 2 6:8 4
13 Estrella 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
14 Anaza 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
15 Union Sur Yaiza 4 1 0 3 4:6 3
16 CD Laguna 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
17 Villaverde Norte 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
18 UD Playas de Sotavento 4 0 1 3 3:15 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 (Play Offs)