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UD San Pedro vs Malaga B Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Luque S.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 9 game between UD San Pedro and Malaga B finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD San Pedro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
UD San Pedro
15%
Draws
53%
Malaga B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malaga B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • UD San Pedro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans UD San Pedro's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 9 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
UD San Pedro Clean Sheet 14%
Malaga B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD San Pedro Malaga B
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 7
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.1 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD San Pedro vs Malaga B
1:0
Apr 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga B vs UD San Pedro
3:2
Dec 8, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD San Pedro vs Malaga B
1:2
May 13, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD San Pedro vs Malaga B
2:2
Dec 17, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Malaga B vs UD San Pedro
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD San Pedro Compare

Top Goalscorer Luque S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Malaga B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD San Pedro 84 / 100
Malaga B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD San Pedro Malaga B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD San Pedro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Malaga B conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

UD San Pedro scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

UD San Pedro has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

UD San Pedro VS Malaga B
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

UD San Pedro

(Home)
04 Oct
UD San Pedro
2 : 3
Motril
27 Sept
Churriana de la Vega
1 : 3
UD San Pedro
20 Sept
UD San Pedro
1 : 0
Almeria B
13 Sept
Granada CF B
4 : 0
UD San Pedro
09 Sept
Cacereno
2 : 0
UD San Pedro
Page 1 of 6

Malaga B

(Away)
03 Oct
Malaga B
2 : 0
Granada CF B
26 Sept
Malaga B
1 : 0
Atletico de Marbella
20 Sept
Cantoria
2 : 2
Malaga B
12 Sept
Malaga B
6 : 1
Atletico de Porcuna
06 Sept
UD San Pedro
1 : 0
Malaga B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Melilla 5 5 0 0 11:3 15
2 Marbelli 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
3 Arenas Armilla 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
4 Motril 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
5 Malaga B 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
6 Almeria B 5 3 1 1 9:3 10
7 UD San Pedro 5 3 0 2 7:8 9
8 Granada CF B 5 2 1 2 7:4 7
9 Churriana de la Vega 5 2 0 3 9:9 6
10 Atletico de Porcuna 5 2 0 3 6:14 6
11 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
12 Huetor Vega 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
13 Torre del Mar 5 1 1 3 3:5 4
14 Atletico de Marbella 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
15 CD Alhaurino 5 1 1 3 3:7 4
16 Cantoria 5 0 3 2 4:7 3
17 Mancha 5 0 2 3 2:7 2
18 Malaga Juniors 5 0 0 5 3:11 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 9 (Play Offs)