Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UD Songo vs Baia de Pemba

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Mocambola matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
UD Songo
11%
Draws
9%
Baia de Pemba
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: UD Songo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • UD Songo have won more games recently than Baia de Pemba.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on UD Songo taking it.
  • Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
UD Songo Clean Sheet 20%
Baia de Pemba Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Songo Baia de Pemba
Matches Played 25 24
Wins 18 7
Draws 5 8
Losses 2 9
Goals Scored 1.25 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Mocambola
UD Songo vs Baia de Pemba
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 Mocambola
UD Songo vs Baia de Pemba
0:0
Oct 24, 2025 Mocambola
Baia de Pemba vs UD Songo
0:2
Aug 31, 2024 Mocambola
Baia de Pemba vs UD Songo
1:1
May 10, 2024 Mocambola
UD Songo vs Baia de Pemba
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Songo 76 / 100
Baia de Pemba 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Songo Baia de Pemba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UDS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: UD Songo scored in 92% of their last 25 outings.

UD Songo went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Baia de Pemba's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 24 matches.

Scoring Trends

UD Songo VS Baia de Pemba
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferroviario Beira954011:319
2UD Songo944112:816
3Associacao Black Bulls835010:314
4Ferroviario Lichinga74218:414
5Ferroviario Nampula741211:1113
6Costa do Sol833210:712
7Ferroviario Nacala73316:412
8Sofala92435:1010
9ENH Vilankulo81619:79
10Ferroviario Maputo82243:58
11AD Pemba72144:97
12Maxaquene90454:114
13Chingale de Tete90451:84
14Baia de Pemba70343:73