Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UD Songo vs Baia de Pemba

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Mocambola matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
UD Songo
30%
Draws
47%
Baia de Pemba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Baia de Pemba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • UD Songo have won more games recently than Baia de Pemba.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
UD Songo Clean Sheet 20%
Baia de Pemba Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Songo Baia de Pemba
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 11 7
Draws 12 9
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.37 0.69
Goals Conceded 0.81 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Mocambola
UD Songo vs Baia de Pemba
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 Mocambola
UD Songo vs Baia de Pemba
0:0
Oct 24, 2025 Mocambola
Baia de Pemba vs UD Songo
0:2
Aug 31, 2024 Mocambola
Baia de Pemba vs UD Songo
1:1
May 10, 2024 Mocambola
UD Songo vs Baia de Pemba
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Songo 36 / 100
Baia de Pemba 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Songo Baia de Pemba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baia de Pemba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: UD Songo scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Baia de Pemba let in goals in 62% of their last 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: UD Songo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UD Songo VS Baia de Pemba
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.25
38% Over 1.5 13%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Songo

(Home)
12 Sept
Petro Atletico
2 : 2
UD Songo
06 Sept
UD Songo
0 : 1
Petro Atletico
02 Sept
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 0
UD Songo
29 Aug
Associacao Black Bulls
3 : 1
UD Songo
23 Aug
UD Songo
1 : 0
Sofala
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Baia de Pemba

(Away)
13 Sept
ENH Vilankulo
2 : 0
Baia de Pemba
02 Sept
Baia de Pemba
2 : 1
Ferroviario Lichinga
25 Aug
Baia de Pemba
1 : 0
Ferroviario Nacala
22 Aug
Baia de Pemba
0 : 0
Ferroviario Nampula
19 Aug
Baia de Pemba
1 : 0
Costa do Sol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Associacao Black Bulls 17 11 5 1 25:9 38
2 Ferroviario Beira 17 9 7 1 23:10 34
3 Costa do Sol 17 9 4 4 23:11 31
4 Ferroviario Nampula 17 8 4 5 19:21 28
5 Ferroviario Lichinga 16 8 3 5 16:13 27
6 UD Songo 17 5 10 2 16:13 25
7 Ferroviario Maputo 17 5 5 7 11:11 20
8 Baia de Pemba 17 4 7 6 9:12 19
9 Ferroviario Nacala 16 5 4 7 8:12 19
10 Sofala 17 4 6 7 8:16 18
11 ENH Vilankulo 16 3 8 5 18:16 17
12 AD Pemba 16 5 2 9 9:18 17
13 Maxaquene 17 1 7 9 8:19 10
14 Chingale de Tete 17 1 6 10 4:16 9
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)