Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UD Songo vs Costa do Sol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola game between UD Songo and Costa do Sol finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Costa do Sol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
UD Songo
20%
Draws
56%
Costa do Sol
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Costa do Sol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Costa do Sol carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Costa do Sol taking it.
  • Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
UD Songo Clean Sheet 20%
Costa do Sol Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Songo Costa do Sol
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 14
Draws 12 7
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.47 1.18
Goals Conceded 0.87 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Mocambola
UD Songo vs Costa do Sol
1:2
Jun 20, 2026 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs UD Songo
2:2
Dec 21, 2025 Mocambola
UD Songo vs Costa do Sol
0:0
Aug 27, 2025 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs UD Songo
0:1
Aug 26, 2024 Mocambola
UD Songo vs Costa do Sol
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Songo 28 / 100
Costa do Sol 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Songo Costa do Sol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Costa do Sol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Songo scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

UD Songo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Costa do Sol has conceded goals in 50% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

UD Songo VS Costa do Sol
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Songo

(Home)
22 Sept
UD Songo
4 : 0
Maxaquene
19 Sept
UD Songo
1 : 2
Costa do Sol
12 Sept
Petro Atletico
2 : 2
UD Songo
06 Sept
UD Songo
0 : 1
Petro Atletico
02 Sept
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 0
UD Songo
Page 1 of 6

Costa do Sol

(Away)
09 Oct
Costa do Sol
2 : 0
Ferroviario Lichinga
19 Sept
UD Songo
1 : 2
Costa do Sol
16 Sept
Chingale de Tete
0 : 1
Costa do Sol
02 Sept
Costa do Sol
1 : 0
Sofala
30 Aug
Costa do Sol
1 : 2
Ferroviario Beira
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Associacao Black Bulls 19 13 5 1 28:9 44
2 Costa do Sol 20 12 4 4 28:12 40
3 Ferroviario Beira 20 9 7 4 23:15 34
4 Ferroviario Nampula 18 9 4 5 21:21 31
5 Ferroviario Maputo 20 8 5 7 15:11 29
6 UD Songo 20 6 10 4 21:16 28
7 Ferroviario Lichinga 18 8 4 6 16:15 28
8 Ferroviario Nacala 18 6 5 7 11:14 23
9 Baia de Pemba 18 5 7 6 10:12 22
10 ENH Vilankulo 18 4 8 6 19:17 20
11 AD Pemba 18 6 2 10 10:19 20
12 Sofala 20 4 6 10 10:22 18
13 Chingale de Tete 20 2 6 12 5:18 12
14 Maxaquene 19 1 7 11 8:24 10
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)