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UD Songo vs Ferroviario Beira

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola game between UD Songo and Ferroviario Beira finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
UD Songo
35%
Draws
40%
Ferroviario Beira
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ferroviario Beira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Ferroviario Beira have managed 1.11 goals a game lately — UD Songo are scoring more at 1.45.
  • Model gives Ferroviario Beira a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
UD Songo Clean Sheet 20%
Ferroviario Beira Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Songo Ferroviario Beira
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 13
Draws 12 9
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 1.45 1.11
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Mocambola
UD Songo vs Ferroviario Beira
0:0
May 10, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs UD Songo
3:0
Nov 22, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs UD Songo
0:1
Aug 15, 2025 Mocambola
UD Songo vs Ferroviario Beira
1:0
Sep 22, 2024 Mocambola
Ferroviario Beira vs UD Songo
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Songo 28 / 100
Ferroviario Beira 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Songo Ferroviario Beira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferroviario Beira Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Songo scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

UD Songo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Ferroviario Beira conceded in 54% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

UD Songo VS Ferroviario Beira
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Songo

(Home)
12 Sept
Petro Atletico
2 : 2
UD Songo
06 Sept
UD Songo
0 : 1
Petro Atletico
02 Sept
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 0
UD Songo
29 Aug
Associacao Black Bulls
3 : 1
UD Songo
23 Aug
UD Songo
1 : 0
Sofala
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Ferroviario Beira

(Away)
16 Sept
Ferroviario Beira
0 : 2
Associacao Black Bulls
03 Sept
Maxaquene
1 : 2
Ferroviario Beira
30 Aug
Costa do Sol
1 : 2
Ferroviario Beira
23 Aug
Chingale de Tete
1 : 1
Ferroviario Beira
20 Aug
UD Songo
0 : 0
Ferroviario Beira
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Associacao Black Bulls 19 13 5 1 28:9 44
2 Costa do Sol 18 10 4 4 24:11 34
3 Ferroviario Beira 18 9 7 2 23:12 34
4 Ferroviario Lichinga 17 8 4 5 16:13 28
5 Ferroviario Nampula 17 8 4 5 19:21 28
6 UD Songo 17 5 10 2 16:13 25
7 Ferroviario Maputo 18 6 5 7 13:11 23
8 ENH Vilankulo 17 4 8 5 19:16 20
9 Ferroviario Nacala 17 5 5 7 8:12 20
10 Baia de Pemba 17 4 7 6 9:12 19
11 Sofala 19 4 6 9 8:19 18
12 AD Pemba 17 5 2 10 9:19 17
13 Maxaquene 17 1 7 9 8:19 10
14 Chingale de Tete 18 1 6 11 4:17 9
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)