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UD Songo vs Ferroviario Nampula - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UD Songo host Ferroviario Nampula in the Mocambola. Little to choose between these two on current form. Ferroviario Nampula have shipped 1.12 goals a game lately, while UD Songo have conceded 0.87 and scored 1.33. Past meetings favor UD Songo slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 24, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.13) point toward UD Songo. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
UD Songo
15%
Draws
48%
Ferroviario Nampula
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ferroviario Nampula

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • UD Songo haven't matched Ferroviario Nampula's recent run of results.
  • UD Songo are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
UD Songo Clean Sheet 20%
Ferroviario Nampula Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Songo Ferroviario Nampula
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 12 13
Draws 12 5
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.33 1.19
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs UD Songo
0:0
Sep 26, 2025 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs UD Songo
0:1
May 27, 2025 Mocambola
UD Songo vs Ferroviario Nampula
3:0
Sep 15, 2024 Mocambola
UD Songo vs Ferroviario Nampula
2:0
May 18, 2024 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs UD Songo
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Songo 49 / 100
Ferroviario Nampula 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Songo Ferroviario Nampula

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Songo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Songo's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: UD Songo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Ferroviario Nampula let in goals in 54% of their last 26 matches.

Scoring Trends

UD Songo VS Ferroviario Nampula
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Songo

(Home)
14 Oct
AD Pemba
0 : 1
UD Songo
10 Oct
Baia de Pemba
1 : 0
UD Songo
22 Sept
UD Songo
4 : 0
Maxaquene
19 Sept
UD Songo
1 : 2
Costa do Sol
12 Sept
Petro Atletico
2 : 2
UD Songo
Page 1 of 6

Ferroviario Nampula

(Away)
13 Oct
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 0
Sofala
10 Oct
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 0
Ferroviario Beira
13 Sept
Ferroviario Lichinga
3 : 0
Ferroviario Nampula
30 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1
ENH Vilankulo
26 Aug
AD Pemba
2 : 0
Ferroviario Nampula
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Associacao Black Bulls 20 13 6 1 30:11 45
2 Costa do Sol 20 12 4 4 28:12 40
3 Ferroviario Beira 21 9 7 5 23:17 34
4 Ferroviario Nampula 19 10 4 5 23:21 34
5 UD Songo 21 7 10 4 22:16 31
6 Ferroviario Maputo 20 8 5 7 15:11 29
7 Ferroviario Lichinga 19 8 5 6 16:15 29
8 Ferroviario Nacala 19 7 5 7 13:14 26
9 Baia de Pemba 19 5 7 7 11:14 22
10 ENH Vilankulo 19 4 9 6 21:19 21
11 AD Pemba 20 6 3 11 10:20 21
12 Sofala 22 4 7 11 10:24 19
13 Chingale de Tete 21 3 6 12 7:19 15
14 Maxaquene 20 1 8 11 8:24 11
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