Sport Picks
UD Talavera vs Villarrubia
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 18 2012/2013 
AI Match Summary
UD Talavera in this Tercera Division - Group 18 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD Talavera.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
35%
39%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Villarrubia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Villarrubia have won more games recently than UD Talavera.
- Villarrubia are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 18 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
UD Talavera Clean Sheet 20%
Villarrubia Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UD Talavera | Villarrubia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 6 | 15 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 21 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.2 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 3, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrubia vs UD Talavera
3:0
Sep 16, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
UD Talavera vs Villarrubia
2:0
Mar 18, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
UD Talavera vs Villarrubia
1:0
Oct 23, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Villarrubia vs UD Talavera
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
UD Talavera 16 / 100
Villarrubia 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
UD Talavera Villarrubia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Villarrubia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Villarrubia has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.
H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.
UD Talavera scored in 50% of their last 30 games.
Recent resilience: UD Talavera stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Villarrubia
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
UD Talavera
(Home) 20 Aug
UD Talavera
0 : 3 Puebla de la Calzada
18 May
UD Talavera
2 : 2 UD Almansa
12 May
Madridejos
2 : 3 UD Talavera
04 May
UD Talavera
1 : 3 Illescas
27 Apr
Hellin Deportivo
2 : 0 UD Talavera
Page 1 of 6
20 Aug
UD Talavera
0 : 3 Puebla de la Calzada
18 May
UD Talavera
2 : 2 UD Almansa
04 May
UD Talavera
1 : 3 Illescas
21 Apr
UD Talavera
0 : 3 CD Puertollano
07 Apr
UD Talavera
0 : 4 Villarrobledo
Page 1 of 4
Villarrubia
(Away) 12 Sept
Toledo
1 : 1 Villarrubia
05 Sept
Villarrubia
1 : 1 San Clemente
09 May
Villarrubia
1 : 0 Huracan de Balazote
03 May
CD Guadalajara B
2 : 0 Villarrubia
25 Apr
Villarrubia
2 : 2 Marchamalo
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12 Sept
Toledo
1 : 1 Villarrubia
03 May
CD Guadalajara B
2 : 0 Villarrubia
19 Apr
Azuqueca
2 : 2 Villarrubia
28 Mar
CD Pedroneras
1 : 0 Villarrubia
15 Mar
San Clemente
2 : 1 Villarrubia
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toledo | 38 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 74:33 | 83 |
| 2 | Conquense | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 58:29 | 71 |
| 3 | Azuqueca | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 58:45 | 69 |
| 4 | CF Talavera | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 52:31 | 67 |
| 5 | Hellin Deportivo | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 45:24 | 65 |
| 6 | Villarrobledo | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 63:43 | 62 |
| 7 | Alcazar | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 42:40 | 60 |
| 8 | CD Puertollano | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 44:31 | 53 |
| 9 | Quintanar del Rey | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 54:54 | 50 |
| 10 | Albacete B | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 47:45 | 49 |
| 11 | Illescas | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 49:52 | 48 |
| 12 | UD Almansa | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 43:54 | 48 |
| 13 | Manzanares | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 36:40 | 48 |
| 14 | Villarrubia | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 39:54 | 43 |
| 15 | Madridejos | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 41:52 | 41 |
| 16 | Mora CF | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 45:54 | 39 |
| 17 | Manchego Ciudad Real | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 37:60 | 35 |
| 18 | Marchamalo | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 45:59 | 35 |
| 19 | Torrijos | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 29:64 | 33 |
| 20 | UD Talavera | 38 | 9 | 5 | 24 | 39:76 | 32 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
