Sport Picks
UD Tegueste vs Castillo CF
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 12 2008/2009 AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 12 2008/2009 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
32%
/ Low Confidence
- UD Tegueste haven't matched Castillo CF's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 12 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Castillo CF have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
UD Tegueste Clean Sheet 20%
Castillo CF Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UD Tegueste | Castillo CF |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 36 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 15 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 0.68 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 9, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD Tegueste vs Castillo CF
0:0
Jan 4, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Castillo CF vs UD Tegueste
1:0
May 11, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Castillo CF vs UD Tegueste
2:1
Dec 22, 2007 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD Tegueste vs Castillo CF
0:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
UD Tegueste 36 / 100
Castillo CF 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
UD Tegueste Castillo CF
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Castillo CF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: UD Tegueste scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: UD Tegueste stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Castillo CF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 36 matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Castillo CF
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
UD Tegueste
(Home) 17 May
Arguineguin
2 : 3 UD Tegueste
09 May
UD Tegueste
0 : 0 Castillo CF
06 May
Victoria CD
1 : 2 UD Tegueste
03 May
UD Tegueste
0 : 1 SD Tenisca
25 Apr
CD Teguise
1 : 1 UD Tegueste
Page 1 of 6
09 May
UD Tegueste
0 : 0 Castillo CF
03 May
UD Tegueste
0 : 1 SD Tenisca
19 Apr
UD Tegueste
1 : 2 UD Realejos
05 Apr
UD Tegueste
1 : 0 Atletico Granadilla
22 Mar
UD Tegueste
1 : 2 Las Zocas
Page 1 of 3
Castillo CF
(Away) 09 May
Los Llanos
2 : 3 Castillo CF
02 May
Castillo CF
3 : 0 SD Tenisca
25 Apr
Tijarafe
2 : 2 Castillo CF
11 Apr
CD Charco Del Pino
0 : 0 Castillo CF
04 Apr
Castillo CF
0 : 1 Teror
Page 1 of 8
09 May
Los Llanos
2 : 3 Castillo CF
25 Apr
Tijarafe
2 : 2 Castillo CF
11 Apr
CD Charco Del Pino
0 : 0 Castillo CF
31 Mar
Villa Santa Brigida
1 : 1 Castillo CF
21 Mar
AD Huracan
2 : 1 Castillo CF
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tenerife B | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 75:27 | 81 |
| 2 | SD Tenisca | 38 | 23 | 11 | 4 | 65:27 | 80 |
| 3 | Castillo CF | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 60:32 | 69 |
| 4 | Mensajero | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 48:33 | 66 |
| 5 | CD Laguna | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 52:33 | 59 |
| 6 | Los Llanos | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 57:43 | 56 |
| 7 | Galdar | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 40:41 | 54 |
| 8 | Atletico Granadilla | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 51:43 | 54 |
| 9 | CD Marino | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 45:51 | 53 |
| 10 | UD Realejos | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 42:45 | 52 |
| 11 | Orientacion Maritima | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 51:52 | 50 |
| 12 | Victoria CD | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 48:54 | 49 |
| 13 | Univ. Las Palmas B | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 40:52 | 46 |
| 14 | Tijarafe | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 44:49 | 46 |
| 15 | Las Zocas | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 40:54 | 45 |
| 16 | Villa Santa Brigida B | 38 | 8 | 18 | 12 | 42:52 | 42 |
| 17 | AD Huracan | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 42:64 | 40 |
| 18 | UD Tegueste | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 44:55 | 39 |
| 19 | Arguineguin | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 41:67 | 35 |
| 20 | CD Teguise | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 31:84 | 27 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
