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Udinese vs AC Milan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli, Udine
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Udinese host AC Milan in the Serie A. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Udinese at 1.3 goals for, 1.23 against; AC Milan at 1.33 for, 1.22 against. Past meetings favor AC Milan slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.50, favoring AC Milan. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Udinese
35%
Draws
56%
AC Milan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AC Milan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AC Milan come out ahead of Udinese on wins alone.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on AC Milan taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • AC Milan have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Udinese Clean Sheet 16%
AC Milan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Udinese AC Milan
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.3 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Serie A
AC Milan vs Udinese
0:3
Sep 20, 2025 Serie A
Udinese vs AC Milan
0:3
Apr 11, 2025 Serie A
Udinese vs AC Milan
0:4
Oct 19, 2024 Serie A
AC Milan vs Udinese
1:0
Jan 20, 2024 Serie A
Udinese vs AC Milan
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Udinese 23 / 100
AC Milan 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Udinese AC Milan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AC Milan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Udinese found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

AC Milan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Recent resilience: Udinese stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Udinese VS AC Milan
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Udinese

(Home)
12 Oct
Torino
2 : 1
Udinese
26 Sept
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 1
Udinese
19 Sept
Udinese
0 : 1
Cagliari
14 Sept
Inter
5 : 3
Udinese
07 Sept
Udinese
1 : 2
Lazio
Page 1 of 6

AC Milan

(Away)
11 Oct
Sassuolo
1 : 1
AC Milan
20 Sept
AC Milan
3 : 0
Lecce
16 Sept
AC Milan
0 : 2
Benfica
12 Sept
Lazio
2 : 2
AC Milan
06 Sept
Juventus
1 : 1
AC Milan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter 6 5 1 0 18:8 16
2 Lazio 6 5 1 0 11:4 16
3 AS Roma 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
4 Cagliari 6 4 1 1 6:3 13
5 AC Milan 6 3 3 0 11:5 12
6 Juventus 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
7 Como 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
8 Napoli 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
9 Frosinone 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
10 Atalanta 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
11 Sassuolo 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
12 Torino 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
13 Lecce 6 2 0 4 6:12 6
14 Bologna 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
15 Udinese 6 1 1 4 9:13 4
16 Monza 6 1 1 4 9:15 4
17 Genoa 6 1 1 4 5:11 4
18 Parma 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
19 Fiorentina 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
20 Venezia 6 0 0 6 5:16 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)