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Stadium Background

Udinese vs Cagliari - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli, Udine
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Zaniolo N.
22'
Karlstrom J.
37'
Sub
Davis K. In: Gueye I.
Out: Davis K.

AI Match Summary

Cagliari in this Serie A matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cagliari.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Udinese
20%
Draws
40%
Cagliari
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Cagliari have won more games recently than Udinese.
  • Udinese are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Udinese Clean Sheet 15%
Cagliari Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Udinese Cagliari
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.21 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Serie A
Udinese vs Cagliari
0:1
May 9, 2026 Serie A
Cagliari vs Udinese
0:2
Oct 5, 2025 Serie A
Udinese vs Cagliari
1:1
May 3, 2025 Serie A
Cagliari vs Udinese
1:2
Oct 25, 2024 Serie A
Udinese vs Cagliari
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Udinese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Cagliari Compare

Top Goalscorer Maldini D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Udinese 41 / 100
Cagliari 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Udinese Cagliari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Udinese's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Cagliari's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Cagliari's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Udinese VS Cagliari
1 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Udinese

(Home)
31 Oct
Udinese
2 : 5
AS Roma
28 Oct
Parma
0 : 0
Udinese
25 Oct
Udinese
0 : 2
AC Milan
18 Oct
Udinese
0 : 3
Lecce
12 Oct
Torino
2 : 1
Udinese
Page 1 of 6

Cagliari

(Away)
01 Nov
Lazio
2 : 1
Cagliari
27 Oct
AS Roma
4 : 2
Cagliari
24 Oct
Cagliari
0 : 2
Bologna
19 Oct
Monza
4 : 0
Cagliari
11 Oct
Cagliari
1 : 1
Juventus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lazio 10 9 1 0 24:8 28
2 Inter 10 8 1 1 26:13 25
3 AS Roma 10 7 3 0 28:10 24
4 Como 10 7 2 1 18:8 23
5 AC Milan 10 6 3 1 21:12 21
6 Frosinone 10 6 2 2 24:14 20
7 Juventus 10 5 2 3 13:10 17
8 Napoli 10 4 2 4 17:13 14
9 Bologna 10 4 2 4 14:13 14
10 Torino 10 4 1 5 14:16 13
11 Genoa 10 4 1 5 10:14 13
12 Cagliari 10 4 1 5 9:15 13
13 Atalanta 10 3 2 5 16:20 11
14 Lecce 10 3 0 7 11:21 9
15 Parma 10 2 2 6 8:15 8
16 Fiorentina 10 2 2 6 15:23 8
17 Sassuolo 10 2 2 6 16:26 8
18 Monza 10 2 1 7 17:24 7
19 Udinese 10 1 2 7 11:23 5
20 Venezia 10 1 0 9 6:20 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)