Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Udinese vs Cagliari

Italy Italy

Serie A Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli, Udine
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Zaniolo N.
22'
Karlstrom J.
37'
Sub
Davis K. In: Gueye I.
Out: Davis K.

AI Match Summary

Cagliari in this Serie A matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cagliari.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Udinese
15%
Draws
48%
Cagliari
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cagliari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Cagliari have won more games recently than Udinese.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Udinese Clean Sheet 20%
Cagliari Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Udinese Cagliari
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.4 1
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Serie A
Udinese vs Cagliari
0:1
May 9, 2026 Serie A
Cagliari vs Udinese
0:2
Oct 5, 2025 Serie A
Udinese vs Cagliari
1:1
May 3, 2025 Serie A
Cagliari vs Udinese
1:2
Oct 25, 2024 Serie A
Udinese vs Cagliari
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Udinese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Cagliari Compare

Top Goalscorer Maldini D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Udinese 32 / 100
Cagliari 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Udinese Cagliari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Udinese's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Cagliari's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Udinese stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Udinese VS Cagliari
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Udinese

(Home)
14 Sept
Inter
5 : 3
Udinese
07 Sept
Udinese
1 : 2
Lazio
02 Sept
Udinese
2 : 1
Venezia
29 Aug
Monza
2 : 3
Udinese
22 Aug
Udinese
1 : 1
Como
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Cagliari

(Away)
12 Sept
Atalanta
1 : 2
Cagliari
07 Sept
Cagliari
1 : 0
Lecce
03 Sept
Cagliari
1 : 2
Verona
30 Aug
Cagliari
0 : 1
Inter
22 Aug
Parma
0 : 1
Cagliari
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma 4 4 0 0 12:1 12
2 Inter 4 4 0 0 13:6 12
3 Como 4 3 1 0 9:4 10
4 Lazio 4 3 1 0 6:3 10
5 Cagliari 4 3 0 1 4:2 9
6 AC Milan 4 2 2 0 7:4 8
7 Frosinone 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
8 Juventus 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
9 Sassuolo 5 2 1 2 9:9 7
10 Napoli 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
11 Atalanta 4 2 0 2 5:5 6
12 Lecce 4 2 0 2 5:7 6
13 Udinese 4 1 1 2 8:10 4
14 Monza 5 1 1 3 8:12 4
15 Torino 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
16 Fiorentina 4 1 0 3 5:11 3
17 Bologna 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
18 Parma 4 0 1 3 2:6 1
19 Genoa 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
20 Venezia 4 0 0 4 4:11 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)