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Udinese vs Lecce - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli, Udine
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
10:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Udinese host Lecce in the Serie A. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Udinese have averaged 1.3 scored and 1.23 conceded recently, against Lecce's 1 scored and 1.34 conceded. Head-to-head, Udinese have won 4 to Lecce's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 8, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 0.81, favoring Udinese. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Udinese
15%
Draws
51%
Lecce
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lecce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Lecce carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Udinese a 34% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Udinese have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Udinese Clean Sheet 68%
Lecce Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Udinese Lecce
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.3 1
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Serie A
Lecce vs Udinese
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 Serie A
Udinese vs Lecce
3:2
Feb 21, 2025 Serie A
Lecce vs Udinese
0:1
Oct 5, 2024 Serie A
Udinese vs Lecce
1:0
May 13, 2024 Serie A
Lecce vs Udinese
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Udinese 50 / 100
Lecce 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Udinese Lecce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Udinese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Udinese found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Lecce let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Difficult form: Lecce registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Udinese VS Lecce
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Udinese

(Home)
26 Sept
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 1
Udinese
19 Sept
Udinese
0 : 1
Cagliari
14 Sept
Inter
5 : 3
Udinese
07 Sept
Udinese
1 : 2
Lazio
02 Sept
Udinese
2 : 1
Venezia
Page 1 of 6

Lecce

(Away)
20 Sept
AC Milan
3 : 0
Lecce
13 Sept
Lecce
3 : 2
Monza
07 Sept
Cagliari
1 : 0
Lecce
31 Aug
Lecce
0 : 4
AS Roma
23 Aug
Venezia
0 : 2
Lecce
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma 5 4 1 0 14:3 13
2 Inter 5 4 1 0 15:8 13
3 Lazio 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
4 Cagliari 5 4 0 1 5:2 12
5 AC Milan 5 3 2 0 10:4 11
6 Frosinone 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
7 Juventus 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
8 Como 5 3 1 1 9:6 10
9 Napoli 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Sassuolo 5 2 1 2 9:9 7
11 Atalanta 5 2 0 3 5:7 6
12 Lecce 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
13 Udinese 5 1 1 3 8:11 4
14 Torino 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
15 Parma 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
16 Monza 5 1 1 3 8:12 4
17 Fiorentina 5 1 1 3 6:12 4
18 Bologna 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
19 Genoa 5 0 1 4 3:10 1
20 Venezia 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)