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Udinese vs Padova - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli, Udine
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Karlstrom J.
35' Event
Davis K.
Assist: Solet O.
46'
Sub
Lasagna K. In: Bortolussi M.
Out: Lasagna K.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Udinese
20%
Draws
70%
Padova
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Padova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Padova come out ahead of Udinese on wins alone.
  • Model gives Padova a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Padova arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Udinese, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Udinese have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Udinese Clean Sheet 15%
Padova Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Udinese Padova
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.21 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Coppa Italia
Udinese vs Padova
1:0
Mar 25, 2024 Club Friendly
Udinese vs Padova
2:3
Jan 13, 2019 Club Friendly
Udinese vs Padova
1:0
Oct 27, 2010 Coppa Italia
Udinese vs Padova
4:0
Apr 21, 1996 Serie A
Padova vs Udinese
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Udinese Compare

Top Goalscorer Davis K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Padova Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Udinese 11 / 100
Padova 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Udinese Padova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Padova Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Udinese found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Padova let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Udinese went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Udinese VS Padova
1 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Udinese

(Home)
31 Oct
Udinese
2 : 5
AS Roma
28 Oct
Parma
0 : 0
Udinese
25 Oct
Udinese
0 : 2
AC Milan
18 Oct
Udinese
0 : 3
Lecce
12 Oct
Torino
2 : 1
Udinese
Page 1 of 6

Padova

(Away)
31 Oct
Catanzaro
1 : 1
Padova
27 Oct
Padova
2 : 0
Sudtirol
24 Oct
Avellino
0 : 1
Padova
17 Oct
Padova
1 : 2
Entella
11 Oct
Padova
0 : 2
Carrarese
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Genoa -
TBD -
Ascoli 3
Potenza 1
Catanzaro -
TBD -
TBD -
Sudtirol -
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lazio -
TBD -
TBD -
Mantova -
Lecce -
TBD -
TBD -
Palermo -
Torino -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrarese -
Monza -
TBD -
TBD -
Avellino -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
Cremonese -
TBD -
TBD -
Sampdoria -
Vicenza 1
Catania 2
TBD -
Parma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cagliari -
TBD -
Arezzo 2
Union Brescia 0
Verona -
TBD -
TBD -
Entella -
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sassuolo -
TBD -
TBD -
Cesena -
Frosinone -
TBD -
TBD -
Juve Stabia -
Udinese -
TBD -
TBD -
Padova -
Venezia -
TBD -
TBD -
Modena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atalanta -
Pisa -
TBD -
TBD -
Empoli -
Benevento 5
Ravenna 3
TBD -
Fiorentina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Napoli -
1/32-finals
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Genoa 4
Ascoli 1
Catanzaro 2
Sudtirol 3
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lazio 0
Mantova 2
Lecce 0
Palermo 2
Torino 1
Carrarese 0
Monza 3
Avellino 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
Cremonese 2
Sampdoria 0
Catania 0
Parma 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cagliari 1
Arezzo 0
Verona 3
Entella 2
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sassuolo 3
Cesena 0
Frosinone 4
Juve Stabia 1
Udinese 1
Padova 0
Venezia 3
Modena 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atalanta -
Pisa 2
Empoli 1
Benevento 1
Fiorentina 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Napoli -
1/16-finals
Inter -
TBD -
Genoa 1
Sudtirol 0
Bologna -
TBD -
Mantova 2
Palermo 5
Torino 0
Monza 1
TBD -
AC Milan -
Cremonese 2
Parma 0
TBD -
Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
Cagliari 1
Verona 2
Juventus -
TBD -
Sassuolo 2
Frosinone 1
Udinese 2
Venezia 1
TBD -
Atalanta -
Pisa 0
Fiorentina 3
TBD -
Napoli -
1/8-finals
Inter -
Genoa -
Bologna -
Palermo -
Monza -
AC Milan -
Cremonese -
Como -
AS Roma -
Verona -
Juventus -
Sassuolo -
Udinese -
Atalanta -
Fiorentina -
Napoli -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Semi-finals
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -