Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Udinese vs Padova

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli, Udine
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Karlstrom J.
35' Event
Davis K.
Assist: Solet O.
46'
Sub
Lasagna K. In: Bortolussi M.
Out: Lasagna K.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Udinese
20%
Draws
23%
Padova
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Udinese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Udinese come out ahead of Padova on wins alone.
  • Model gives Udinese a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Udinese have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Udinese, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Udinese have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Udinese Clean Sheet 16%
Padova Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Udinese Padova
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.24 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Coppa Italia
Udinese vs Padova
1:0
Mar 25, 2024 Club Friendly
Udinese vs Padova
2:3
Jan 13, 2019 Club Friendly
Udinese vs Padova
1:0
Oct 27, 2010 Coppa Italia
Udinese vs Padova
4:0
Apr 21, 1996 Serie A
Padova vs Udinese
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Udinese Compare

Top Goalscorer Davis K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Padova Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Udinese 75 / 100
Padova 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Udinese Padova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Udinese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Udinese found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Padova let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Udinese went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Udinese VS Padova
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Udinese

(Home)
15 Aug
Udinese
1 : 0
Padova
08 Aug
Udinese
1 : 0
Barcelona
08 Aug
Udinese
1 : 0
Nottingham
02 Aug
Trabzonspor
1 : 0
Udinese
01 Aug
Udinese
3 : 3
Mainz
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Padova

(Away)
15 Aug
Udinese
1 : 0
Padova
07 Aug
Monza
3 : 3
Padova
01 Aug
Cittadella
0 : 2
Padova
25 Jul
Padova
1 : 3
Ospitaletto
22 Jul
Sassuolo
4 : 1
Padova
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Genoa -
TBD -
Ascoli 3
Potenza 1
Catanzaro -
TBD -
TBD -
Sudtirol -
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lazio -
TBD -
TBD -
Mantova -
Lecce -
TBD -
TBD -
Palermo -
Torino -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrarese -
Monza -
TBD -
TBD -
Avellino -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
Cremonese -
TBD -
TBD -
Sampdoria -
Vicenza 1
Catania 2
TBD -
Parma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Cagliari -
TBD -
Arezzo 2
Union Brescia 0
Verona -
TBD -
TBD -
Entella -
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sassuolo -
TBD -
TBD -
Cesena -
Frosinone -
TBD -
TBD -
Juve Stabia -
Udinese -
TBD -
TBD -
Padova -
Venezia -
TBD -
TBD -
Modena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atalanta -
Pisa -
TBD -
TBD -
Empoli -
Benevento 5
Ravenna 3
TBD -
Fiorentina -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Napoli -
1/32-finals
Inter -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Genoa 4
Ascoli 1
Catanzaro 2
Sudtirol 3
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lazio 0
Mantova 2
Lecce 0
Palermo 2
Torino 1
Carrarese 0
Monza 3
Avellino 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
Cremonese 2
Sampdoria 0
Catania 0
Parma 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cagliari 1
Arezzo 0
Verona 3
Entella 2
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sassuolo 3
Cesena 0
Frosinone 4
Juve Stabia 1
Udinese 1
Padova 0
Venezia 3
Modena 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Atalanta -
Pisa 2
Empoli 1
Benevento 1
Fiorentina 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Napoli -
1/16-finals
Inter -
TBD -
Genoa -
Sudtirol -
Bologna -
TBD -
Mantova -
Palermo -
Torino -
Monza -
TBD -
AC Milan -
Cremonese -
Parma -
TBD -
Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
Cagliari -
Verona -
Juventus -
TBD -
Sassuolo -
Frosinone -
Udinese -
Venezia -
TBD -
Atalanta -
Pisa -
Fiorentina -
TBD -
Napoli -
1/8-finals
Inter -
TBD -
Bologna -
TBD -
TBD -
AC Milan -
TBD -
Como -
AS Roma -
TBD -
Juventus -
TBD -
TBD -
Atalanta -
TBD -
Napoli -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -