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UE Castelldefels vs FE Grama

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Cano C.
(Penalty)
41' Event
Garcia R.
(Penalty)
56' Event
Padillo A.

AI Match Summary

FE Grama in this Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FE Grama.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
UE Castelldefels
20%
Draws
58%
FE Grama
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FE Grama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • FE Grama have won more games recently than UE Castelldefels.
  • Win probability leans FE Grama's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
UE Castelldefels Clean Sheet 18%
FE Grama Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UE Castelldefels FE Grama
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 15
Draws 7 9
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 0.97 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.53 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs FE Grama
1:2
Jan 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
FE Grama vs UE Castelldefels
0:0
Feb 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
FE Grama vs UE Castelldefels
1:0
Oct 23, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs FE Grama
1:0
Mar 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
FE Grama vs UE Castelldefels
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UE Castelldefels Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

FE Grama Compare

Top Goalscorer Padillo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UE Castelldefels 12 / 100
FE Grama 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UE Castelldefels FE Grama

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FE Grama Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FE Grama has conceded goals in 61% of their last 33 outings.

Attacking prowess: UE Castelldefels scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

UE Castelldefels has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS FE Grama
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

UE Castelldefels

(Home)
11 May
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2
FE Grama
05 May
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 0
UE Castelldefels
01 May
UE Castelldefels
2 : 1
Peralada
28 Apr
Montanesa
1 : 0
UE Castelldefels
21 Apr
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2
FC Vilafranca
Page 1 of 6

FE Grama

(Away)
27 Sept
FE Grama
3 : 0
Vilassar de Mar
20 Sept
Montanesa
1 : 0
FE Grama
13 Sept
FE Grama
1 : 1
FC Martinenc
05 Sept
FC Lescala
1 : 2
FE Grama
15 Aug
FC Martinenc
0 : 0
FE Grama
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olot 34 24 7 3 55:20 79
2 L Hospitalet 34 22 3 9 56:28 69
3 Vilassar de Mar 34 17 9 8 41:27 60
4 CF Badalona 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
5 Prat 34 13 12 9 39:30 51
6 UE Tona 34 13 9 12 48:45 48
7 FC Lescala 34 14 6 14 57:59 48
8 Reus FC Reddis 34 12 10 12 31:28 46
9 Montanesa 34 13 7 14 32:39 46
10 FE Grama 34 13 6 15 41:47 45
11 Girona B 34 11 11 12 49:40 44
12 Mollerussa 34 12 7 15 33:46 43
13 San Cristobal CP 34 13 4 17 35:54 43
14 Peralada 34 11 9 14 34:34 42
15 Pobla Mafumet 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 FC Vilafranca 34 8 9 17 31:53 33
17 UE Castelldefels 34 7 9 18 30:47 30
18 UE Rapitenca 34 9 3 22 36:51 30
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 (Play Offs)