Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 5 2016/2017

La Jonquera

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

UE Castelldefels play La Jonquera in the Tercera Division - Group 5 2016/2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, UE Castelldefels averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. La Jonquera averaged 0.5 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. In past meetings, UE Castelldefels won 1, La Jonquera won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 26, 2017 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for UE Castelldefels and 0.88 for La Jonquera. This points to a La Jonquera double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

UE Castelldefels

21%

Draws

41%

La Jonquera

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: La Jonquera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

UE Castelldefels picked up more points recently compared to La Jonquera.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 0.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 50%

Over 2.5 Goals 30%

Over 3.5 Goals 18%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

UE Castelldefels Clean Sheet 25%

La Jonquera Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 45%

Second Half Goal 48%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	UE Castelldefels	La Jonquera
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	7	8
Draws	7	6
Losses	18	16
Goals Scored	0.97	0.5
Goals Conceded	1.47	0.9

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

UE Castelldefels vs La Jonquera

Possession: 41% - 56% Cards: 2 - 1

2:0

Oct 30, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

La Jonquera vs UE Castelldefels

Possession: 41% - 51% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UE Castelldefels 39 / 100

La Jonquera 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

UE Castelldefels La Jonquera

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: La Jonquera or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +25.1%

4.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

UE Castelldefels attacking → ← attacking La Jonquera

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UE Castelldefels scored in 56% of their last 32 games.

La Jonquera let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

UE Castelldefels went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

La Jonquera lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 30

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Olot	38	24	8	6	73:38	80
2	Peralada	38	24	5	9	68:27	77
3	Terrassa	38	19	9	10	48:26	66
4	FC Vilafranca	38	18	10	10	60:37	64
5	Sant Andreu	38	16	12	10	51:40	60
6	FC Asco	38	15	12	11	44:37	57
7	Pobla Mafumet	38	12	19	7	43:36	55
8	Granollers	38	14	8	16	47:54	50
9	UE Figueres	38	12	14	12	39:41	50
10	Vilassar de Mar	38	13	11	14	40:44	50
11	Palamos CF	38	13	10	15	49:55	49
12	CE Europa	38	11	14	13	28:32	47
13	Santfeliuenc	38	11	12	15	39:44	45
14	Cerdanyola del Valles	38	11	12	15	43:51	45
15	UE Castelldefels	38	11	9	18	34:51	42
16	La Jonquera	38	10	12	16	19:29	42
17	Montanesa	38	11	9	18	32:48	42
18	Manlleu AEC	38	8	16	14	41:59	40
19	Jupiter	38	7	14	17	32:52	35
20	Sabadell B	38	7	10	21	34:63	31