Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UE Castelldefels vs Peralada

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024
UE Castelldefels Logo

UE Castelldefels

2 - 1
FT
Peralada Logo

Peralada

Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Marimon R.
65' Event
Felices P.
89' Event
Marimon R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

UE Castelldefels in this Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored UE Castelldefels.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
UE Castelldefels
30%
Draws
47%
Peralada
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Peralada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Peralada lately — more wins on the board than UE Castelldefels.
  • Model gives Peralada a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
UE Castelldefels Clean Sheet 19%
Peralada Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UE Castelldefels Peralada
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 6 12
Draws 7 14
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.05
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs Peralada
2:1
Jan 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Peralada vs UE Castelldefels
2:0
Apr 6, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Peralada vs UE Castelldefels
1:2
Dec 4, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs Peralada
0:0
Apr 3, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Peralada vs UE Castelldefels
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UE Castelldefels Compare

Top Goalscorer Marimon R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Peralada Compare

Top Goalscorer Felices P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UE Castelldefels 10 / 100
Peralada 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UE Castelldefels Peralada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Peralada Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

UE Castelldefels's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Peralada conceded in 57% of 37 recent games.

UE Castelldefels has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Peralada
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

UE Castelldefels

(Home)
11 May
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2
FE Grama
05 May
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 0
UE Castelldefels
01 May
UE Castelldefels
2 : 1
Peralada
28 Apr
Montanesa
1 : 0
UE Castelldefels
21 Apr
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2
FC Vilafranca
Page 1 of 6

Peralada

(Away)
13 Sept
Peralada
0 : 1
UE Tona
06 Sept
San Cristobal CP
1 : 1
Peralada
10 May
Peralada
5 : 0
Montanesa
03 May
Cerdanyola del Valles
2 : 2
Peralada
26 Apr
Peralada
1 : 1
Can Vidalet
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olot 34 24 7 3 55:20 79
2 L Hospitalet 34 22 3 9 56:28 69
3 Vilassar de Mar 34 17 9 8 41:27 60
4 CF Badalona 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
5 Prat 34 13 12 9 39:30 51
6 UE Tona 34 13 9 12 48:45 48
7 FC Lescala 34 14 6 14 57:59 48
8 Reus FC Reddis 34 12 10 12 31:28 46
9 Montanesa 34 13 7 14 32:39 46
10 FE Grama 34 13 6 15 41:47 45
11 Girona B 34 11 11 12 49:40 44
12 Mollerussa 34 12 7 15 33:46 43
13 San Cristobal CP 34 13 4 17 35:54 43
14 Peralada 34 11 9 14 34:34 42
15 Pobla Mafumet 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 FC Vilafranca 34 8 9 17 31:53 33
17 UE Castelldefels 34 7 9 18 30:47 30
18 UE Rapitenca 34 9 3 22 36:51 30
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2023/2024 (Play Offs)