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UE Castelldefels vs UE Sants Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2022/2023 game between UE Castelldefels and UE Sants finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UE Castelldefels.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
UE Castelldefels
20%
Draws
32%
UE Sants
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UE Castelldefels

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UE Castelldefels come out ahead of UE Sants on wins alone.
  • UE Castelldefels are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
UE Castelldefels Clean Sheet 20%
UE Sants Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UE Castelldefels UE Sants
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 7 9
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 0.97 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs UE Sants
2:0
Sep 18, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Sants vs UE Castelldefels
3:0
Apr 24, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs UE Sants
2:0
Dec 19, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Sants vs UE Castelldefels
1:1
Apr 26, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs UE Sants
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UE Castelldefels 42 / 100
UE Sants 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UE Castelldefels UE Sants

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UE Sants has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Away concern: UE Sants has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

UE Castelldefels scored in 56% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

UE Castelldefels VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UE Castelldefels

(Home)
11 May
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2
FE Grama
05 May
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 0
UE Castelldefels
01 May
UE Castelldefels
2 : 1
Peralada
28 Apr
Montanesa
1 : 0
UE Castelldefels
21 Apr
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2
FC Vilafranca
Page 1 of 7

UE Sants

(Away)
23 Apr
Peralada
0 : 0
UE Sants
16 Apr
UE Sants
1 : 2
Pobla Mafumet
07 Apr
UE Tona
1 : 1
UE Sants
02 Apr
UE Sants
2 : 3
FE Grama
26 Mar
FC Vilafranca
3 : 2
UE Sants
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CE Europa 30 18 6 6 42:21 60
2 Sant Andreu 30 15 11 4 50:31 56
3 San Cristobal CP 30 14 10 6 36:21 52
4 L Hospitalet 30 15 6 9 53:33 51
5 Peralada 30 14 7 9 41:33 49
6 UE Castelldefels 30 13 5 12 31:35 44
7 Pobla Mafumet 30 12 7 11 40:35 43
8 Girona B 30 12 7 11 45:34 43
9 Montanesa 30 10 10 10 38:38 40
10 FE Grama 30 9 10 11 38:46 37
11 UE Tona 30 8 9 13 36:51 33
12 UE Rapitenca 30 8 8 14 37:48 32
13 CF Badalona 30 7 10 13 32:35 31
14 FC Vilafranca 30 7 9 14 38:55 30
15 Vilassar de Mar 30 6 10 14 33:47 28
16 UE Sants 30 5 9 16 29:56 24
17 Cerdanyola del Valles 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2022/2023 (Play Offs)