Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UE Santa Coloma vs Encamp

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UE Santa Coloma play Encamp in the Primera Divisió 2018/2019. UE Santa Coloma are favorites here. Recently, UE Santa Coloma averaged 1.97 goals scored and 0.73 conceded. Encamp averaged 0.97 goals scored and 2.7 conceded. In past meetings, UE Santa Coloma won 3, Encamp won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 16, 2022 ended 6:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.67 for UE Santa Coloma and 0.88 for Encamp. This points to a UE Santa Coloma double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
UE Santa Coloma
18%
Draws
17%
Encamp
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: UE Santa Coloma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence
  • UE Santa Coloma picked up more points recently compared to Encamp.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.67 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
UE Santa Coloma Clean Sheet 25%
Encamp Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UE Santa Coloma Encamp
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 20 5
Draws 7 4
Losses 6 21
Goals Scored 1.97 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.73 2.7

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2022 Andorra Cup
UE Santa Coloma vs Encamp
6:2
May 5, 2019 Primera Divisió
Encamp vs UE Santa Coloma
0:2
Apr 14, 2019 Primera Divisió
UE Santa Coloma vs Encamp
1:2
Feb 17, 2019 Primera Divisió
Encamp vs UE Santa Coloma
1:1
Nov 11, 2018 Primera Divisió
UE Santa Coloma vs Encamp
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UE Santa Coloma Compare

Top Goalscorer Crespo S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Encamp Compare

Top Goalscorer Peralta E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tete Lopez
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UE Santa Coloma 64 / 100
Encamp 17 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UE Santa Coloma Encamp

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UE Santa Coloma Win (1)
Secondary Pick UE Santa Coloma & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.7%
1.75
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

UE Santa Coloma attacking → ← attacking Encamp

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UE Santa Coloma scored in 79% of their last 33 games.

Encamp let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

UE Santa Coloma went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Encamp lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

67 Points in last 5 19
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
5Ordino271031434:3933
6UE Santa Coloma27881133:3232
7Lusitanos27561622:4621
8Encamp27551724:5320