Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2022/2023

Montanesa

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

UE Sants play Montanesa in the Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, UE Sants averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. Montanesa averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.08 conceded. In past meetings, UE Sants won 1, Montanesa won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 5, 2023 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for UE Sants and 1.11 for Montanesa. This points to a Montanesa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%

UE Sants

33%

Draws

41%

Montanesa

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Montanesa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

UE Sants picked up more points recently compared to Montanesa.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.11 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 72%

Over 2.5 Goals 42%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

UE Sants Clean Sheet 21%

Montanesa Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 65%

Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	UE Sants	Montanesa
Matches Played	30	37
Wins	5	14
Draws	9	8
Losses	16	15
Goals Scored	0.97	0.97
Goals Conceded	1.87	1.08

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

UE Sants vs Montanesa

Possession: 57% - 52% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Oct 30, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

Montanesa vs UE Sants

Possession: 56% - 50% Cards: 4 - 3

2:0

Jun 13, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

UE Sants vs Montanesa

Possession: 43% - 45% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

May 9, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

Montanesa vs UE Sants

Possession: 56% - 40% Cards: 3 - 3

0:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UE Sants 28 / 100

Montanesa 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

UE Sants Montanesa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Montanesa or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +44.6%

5.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.8%

2.78

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

UE Sants attacking → ← attacking Montanesa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UE Sants scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Montanesa let in goals in 59% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

UE Sants went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Montanesa lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 50

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CE Europa	30	18	6	6	42:21	60
2	Sant Andreu	30	15	11	4	50:31	56
3	San Cristobal CP	30	14	10	6	36:21	52
4	L Hospitalet	30	15	6	9	53:33	51
5	Peralada	30	14	7	9	41:33	49
6	UE Castelldefels	30	13	5	12	31:35	44
7	Pobla Mafumet	30	12	7	11	40:35	43
8	Girona B	30	12	7	11	45:34	43
9	Montanesa	30	10	10	10	38:38	40
10	FE Grama	30	9	10	11	38:46	37
11	UE Tona	30	8	9	13	36:51	33
12	UE Rapitenca	30	8	8	14	37:48	32
13	CF Badalona	30	7	10	13	32:35	31
14	FC Vilafranca	30	7	9	14	38:55	30
15	Vilassar de Mar	30	6	10	14	33:47	28
16	UE Sants	30	5	9	16	29:56	24
17	Cerdanyola del Valles	0	0	0	0	0:0	0