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UE Tona vs FC Lescala

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Martinez J.
90' Event
Garcia R.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 game between UE Tona and FC Lescala finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UE Tona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
UE Tona
40%
Draws
29%
FC Lescala
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FC Lescala come out ahead of UE Tona on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
UE Tona Clean Sheet 20%
FC Lescala Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UE Tona FC Lescala
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 13 9
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Tona vs FC Lescala
2:0
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
FC Lescala vs UE Tona
1:1
Feb 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Tona vs FC Lescala
2:1
Sep 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
FC Lescala vs UE Tona
2:1
Feb 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Tona vs FC Lescala
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UE Tona Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

FC Lescala Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UE Tona 32 / 100
FC Lescala 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UE Tona FC Lescala

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Lescala let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: UE Tona scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: UE Tona stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UE Tona VS FC Lescala
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CE Manresa34199655:3266
2CF Badalona341712543:2763
3Cornella34179850:3660
4CF Vilanova341511838:2756
5L Hospitalet341671155:3955
6FE Grama341412849:3554
7FC Lescala3412101251:5146
8Peralada3411131045:3946
9UE Tona341015935:3145
10CE Europa B341291344:5345
11Montanesa341191431:3942
12Mollerussa349131239:4340
13Vilassar de Mar349111436:3838
14San Cristobal CP348131339:4837
15Cerdanyola del Valles346161240:5334
16Can Vidalet34891735:5333
17UE Vic347111631:4732
18Lleida344131721:4625