Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026

UE Tona

4 - 1

L Hospitalet

Our Tip

Match Events

21'

Garcia R.

33'

Roquet M.

43'

Molina D.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

UE Tona in this Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored UE Tona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

UE Tona

30%

Draws

34%

L Hospitalet

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: UE Tona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

L Hospitalet have won more games recently than UE Tona.
Win probability leans UE Tona's way, sitting at 36%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%

UE Tona Clean Sheet 68%

L Hospitalet Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	UE Tona	L Hospitalet
Matches Played	28	30
Wins	8	13
Draws	13	6
Losses	7	11
Goals Scored	0.5	2.25
Goals Conceded	0.88	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

UE Tona vs L Hospitalet

Possession: 42% - 58% Cards: 2 - 2

4:1

Oct 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

L Hospitalet vs UE Tona

Possession: 57% - 50% Cards: 2 - 0

1:2

Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

L Hospitalet vs UE Tona

Possession: 59% - 55% Cards: 1 - 0

3:2

Sep 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

UE Tona vs L Hospitalet

Possession: 40% - 52% Cards: 0 - 1

0:0

Apr 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

L Hospitalet vs UE Tona

Possession: 46% - 41% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UE Tona Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia R.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Roquet M.

2 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

L Hospitalet Compare

Top Goalscorer Marin Lasso J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UE Tona 46 / 100

L Hospitalet 44 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

UE Tona L Hospitalet

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

UE Tona scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

L Hospitalet's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

UE Tona has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

UE Tona VS L Hospitalet

0.5 Goals Scored 2.25

0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88

38% Over 1.5 63%

25% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CE Manresa	34	19	9	6	55:32	66
2	CF Badalona	34	17	12	5	43:27	63
3	Cornella	34	17	9	8	50:36	60
4	CF Vilanova	34	15	11	8	38:27	56
5	L Hospitalet	34	16	7	11	55:39	55
6	FE Grama	34	14	12	8	49:35	54
7	FC Lescala	34	12	10	12	51:51	46
8	Peralada	34	11	13	10	45:39	46
9	UE Tona	34	10	15	9	35:31	45
10	CE Europa B	34	12	9	13	44:53	45
11	Montanesa	34	11	9	14	31:39	42
12	Mollerussa	34	9	13	12	39:43	40
13	Vilassar de Mar	34	9	11	14	36:38	38
14	San Cristobal CP	34	8	13	13	39:48	37
15	Cerdanyola del Valles	34	6	16	12	40:53	34
16	Can Vidalet	34	8	9	17	35:53	33
17	UE Vic	34	7	11	16	31:47	32
18	Lleida	34	4	13	17	21:46	25