Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UE Tona vs Lleida

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
UE Tona Logo

UE Tona

1 - 1
FT
Lleida Logo

Lleida

Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Roquet M.
60' Event
Russo P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
UE Tona
30%
Draws
18%
Lleida
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: UE Tona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • UE Tona have won more games recently than Lleida.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on UE Tona taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
UE Tona Clean Sheet 68%
Lleida Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UE Tona Lleida
Matches Played 27 16
Wins 8 1
Draws 12 7
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Tona vs Lleida
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Lleida vs UE Tona
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UE Tona Compare

Top Goalscorer Roquet M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Lleida Compare

Top Goalscorer Russo P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UE Tona 95 / 100
Lleida 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UE Tona Lleida

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UE Tona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lleida conceded in 75% of 16 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

UE Tona has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

UE Tona found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (27 games).

Scoring Trends

UE Tona VS Lleida
0.88 Goals Scored 0.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

UE Tona

(Home)
13 Sept
Peralada
0 : 1
UE Tona
05 Sept
UE Tona
0 : 1
Mollerussa
02 Aug
UE Tona
2 : 1
Barcelona B
09 May
UE Tona
2 : 0
FC Lescala
03 May
Vilassar de Mar
3 : 1
UE Tona
Page 1 of 6

Lleida

(Away)
10 May
Lleida
1 : 2
CF Vilanova
03 May
FC Lescala
4 : 1
Lleida
26 Apr
Lleida
1 : 1
Vilassar de Mar
19 Apr
Mollerussa
0 : 0
Lleida
12 Apr
Lleida
0 : 0
San Cristobal CP
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CE Manresa 34 19 9 6 55:32 66
2 CF Badalona 34 17 12 5 43:27 63
3 Cornella 34 17 9 8 50:36 60
4 CF Vilanova 34 15 11 8 38:27 56
5 L Hospitalet 34 16 7 11 55:39 55
6 FE Grama 34 14 12 8 49:35 54
7 FC Lescala 34 12 10 12 51:51 46
8 Peralada 34 11 13 10 45:39 46
9 UE Tona 34 10 15 9 35:31 45
10 CE Europa B 34 12 9 13 44:53 45
11 Montanesa 34 11 9 14 31:39 42
12 Mollerussa 34 9 13 12 39:43 40
13 Vilassar de Mar 34 9 11 14 36:38 38
14 San Cristobal CP 34 8 13 13 39:48 37
15 Cerdanyola del Valles 34 6 16 12 40:53 34
16 Can Vidalet 34 8 9 17 35:53 33
17 UE Vic 34 7 11 16 31:47 32
18 Lleida 34 4 13 17 21:46 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 (Play Offs)