Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026

UE Tona

1 - 1

Lleida

Our Tip

Match Events

25'

Roquet M.

60'

Russo P.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

UE Tona

28%

Draws

22%

Lleida

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: UE Tona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

UE Tona have won more games recently than Lleida.
50% — that's where the model lands on UE Tona taking it.
Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 28%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 14.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 7%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%

UE Tona Clean Sheet 68%

Lleida Clean Sheet 23%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	UE Tona	Lleida
Matches Played	29	26
Wins	8	4
Draws	13	10
Losses	8	12
Goals Scored	0.71	0.13
Goals Conceded	0.86	0.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.71	0.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.86	0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

UE Tona vs Lleida

1:1

Sep 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

Lleida vs UE Tona

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UE Tona Compare

Top Goalscorer Roquet M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.55

Avg xA / game 0.35

Lleida Compare

Top Goalscorer Russo P.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.12

Avg xA / game 0.07

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UE Tona 59 / 100

Lleida 24 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

UE Tona Lleida

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UE Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lleida conceded in 69% of 26 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

UE Tona has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

UE Tona found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

UE Tona VS Lleida

0.71 Goals Scored 0.13

0.86 Goals Conceded 0.25

43% Over 1.5 13%

29% Over 2.5 13%

29% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UE Tona

(Home)

09 May

UE Tona

2 : 0

FC Lescala

03 May

Vilassar de Mar

3 : 1

UE Tona

26 Apr

UE Tona

0 : 0

Mollerussa

19 Apr

San Cristobal CP

2 : 2

UE Tona

12 Apr

UE Tona

0 : 1

Cornella

Page 1 of 6

Lleida

(Away)

10 May

Lleida

1 : 2

CF Vilanova

03 May

FC Lescala

4 : 1

Lleida

26 Apr

Lleida

1 : 1

Vilassar de Mar

19 Apr

Mollerussa

0 : 0

Lleida

12 Apr

Lleida

0 : 0

San Cristobal CP

Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CE Manresa	34	19	9	6	55:32	66
2	CF Badalona	34	17	12	5	43:27	63
3	Cornella	34	17	9	8	50:36	60
4	CF Vilanova	34	15	11	8	38:27	56
5	L Hospitalet	34	16	7	11	55:39	55
6	FE Grama	34	14	12	8	49:35	54
7	FC Lescala	34	12	10	12	51:51	46
8	Peralada	34	11	13	10	45:39	46
9	UE Tona	34	10	15	9	35:31	45
10	CE Europa B	34	12	9	13	44:53	45
11	Montanesa	34	11	9	14	31:39	42
12	Mollerussa	34	9	13	12	39:43	40
13	Vilassar de Mar	34	9	11	14	36:38	38
14	San Cristobal CP	34	8	13	13	39:48	37
15	Cerdanyola del Valles	34	6	16	12	40:53	34
16	Can Vidalet	34	8	9	17	35:53	33
17	UE Vic	34	7	11	16	31:47	32
18	Lleida	34	4	13	17	21:46	25

Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 (Play Offs)