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UE Tona vs Mollerussa

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Graells Mas J.
72'
Hallebeek B.
72'
Hallebeek B.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 game between UE Tona and Mollerussa finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mollerussa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
UE Tona
15%
Draws
37%
Mollerussa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UE Tona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • UE Tona haven't matched Mollerussa's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Mollerussa here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
UE Tona Clean Sheet 23%
Mollerussa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UE Tona Mollerussa
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 13 8
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Tona vs Mollerussa
0:1
Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Tona vs Mollerussa
0:0
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Mollerussa vs UE Tona
1:0
Feb 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Tona vs Mollerussa
0:3
Oct 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Mollerussa vs UE Tona
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UE Tona Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Mollerussa Compare

Top Goalscorer Graells Mas J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UE Tona 37 / 100
Mollerussa 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UE Tona Mollerussa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mollerussa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mollerussa conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: UE Tona remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

UE Tona's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

UE Tona VS Mollerussa
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UE Tona

(Home)
13 Sept
Peralada
0 : 1
UE Tona
05 Sept
UE Tona
0 : 1
Mollerussa
02 Aug
UE Tona
2 : 1
Barcelona B
09 May
UE Tona
2 : 0
FC Lescala
03 May
Vilassar de Mar
3 : 1
UE Tona
Page 1 of 6

Mollerussa

(Away)
13 Sept
Mollerussa
0 : 1
CF Vilanova
05 Sept
UE Tona
0 : 1
Mollerussa
10 May
CE Europa B
0 : 3
Mollerussa
03 May
Mollerussa
1 : 2
FE Grama
26 Apr
UE Tona
0 : 0
Mollerussa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montanesa 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Pobla Mafumet 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Cornella 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
4 L Hospitalet 3 1 2 0 4:2 5
5 FC Martinenc 3 1 2 0 6:5 5
6 CF Vilanova 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
7 FE Grama 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
8 FC Lescala 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
9 Vilassar de Mar 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
10 Mollerussa 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
11 UE Tona 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
12 San Juan Atletico de Montcada 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
13 Peralada 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
14 CE Europa B 3 0 2 1 3:5 2
15 San Cristobal CP 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
16 CE Atletic Lleida 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
17 Cerdanyola del Valles 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
18 CF Badalona 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 (Play Offs)