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UE Tona vs Peralada

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
UE Tona
44%
Draws
20%
Peralada
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Peralada lately — more wins on the board than UE Tona.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
UE Tona Clean Sheet 25%
Peralada Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UE Tona Peralada
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 13 11
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Tona vs Peralada
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Peralada vs UE Tona
0:0
Feb 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Peralada vs UE Tona
2:1
Oct 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Tona vs Peralada
0:0
Feb 25, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Peralada vs UE Tona
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UE Tona 37 / 100
Peralada 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UE Tona Peralada

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UE Tona found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

UE Tona has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Peralada's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

UE Tona VS Peralada
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CE Manresa34199655:3266
2CF Badalona341712543:2763
3Cornella34179850:3660
4CF Vilanova341511838:2756
5L Hospitalet341671155:3955
6FE Grama341412849:3554
7FC Lescala3412101251:5146
8Peralada3411131045:3946
9UE Tona341015935:3145
10CE Europa B341291344:5345
11Montanesa341191431:3942
12Mollerussa349131239:4340
13Vilassar de Mar349111436:3838
14San Cristobal CP348131339:4837
15Cerdanyola del Valles346161240:5334
16Can Vidalet34891735:5333
17UE Vic347111631:4732
18Lleida344131721:4625