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UE Tona vs Peralada

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
UE Tona
30%
Draws
28%
Peralada
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: UE Tona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UE Tona lately — more wins on the board than Peralada.
  • Win probability leans UE Tona's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
UE Tona Clean Sheet 68%
Peralada Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UE Tona Peralada
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 7
Draws 13 12
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 0.96 1.29
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Peralada vs UE Tona
0:1
Mar 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Tona vs Peralada
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Peralada vs UE Tona
0:0
Feb 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Peralada vs UE Tona
2:1
Oct 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Tona vs Peralada
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UE Tona 46 / 100
Peralada 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UE Tona Peralada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Peralada conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

UE Tona has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

UE Tona's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 0.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

UE Tona VS Peralada
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UE Tona

(Home)
13 Sept
Peralada
0 : 1
UE Tona
05 Sept
UE Tona
0 : 1
Mollerussa
02 Aug
UE Tona
2 : 1
Barcelona B
09 May
UE Tona
2 : 0
FC Lescala
03 May
Vilassar de Mar
3 : 1
UE Tona
Page 1 of 6

Peralada

(Away)
13 Sept
Peralada
0 : 1
UE Tona
06 Sept
San Cristobal CP
1 : 1
Peralada
10 May
Peralada
5 : 0
Montanesa
03 May
Cerdanyola del Valles
2 : 2
Peralada
26 Apr
Peralada
1 : 1
Can Vidalet
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CE Manresa 34 19 9 6 55:32 66
2 CF Badalona 34 17 12 5 43:27 63
3 Cornella 34 17 9 8 50:36 60
4 CF Vilanova 34 15 11 8 38:27 56
5 L Hospitalet 34 16 7 11 55:39 55
6 FE Grama 34 14 12 8 49:35 54
7 FC Lescala 34 12 10 12 51:51 46
8 Peralada 34 11 13 10 45:39 46
9 UE Tona 34 10 15 9 35:31 45
10 CE Europa B 34 12 9 13 44:53 45
11 Montanesa 34 11 9 14 31:39 42
12 Mollerussa 34 9 13 12 39:43 40
13 Vilassar de Mar 34 9 11 14 36:38 38
14 San Cristobal CP 34 8 13 13 39:48 37
15 Cerdanyola del Valles 34 6 16 12 40:53 34
16 Can Vidalet 34 8 9 17 35:53 33
17 UE Vic 34 7 11 16 31:47 32
18 Lleida 34 4 13 17 21:46 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 (Play Offs)