Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UE Tona vs Pobla Mafumet

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Cao T.
30' Event
Aguzzi Bettini N. A.
58' Event
Aguzzi Bettini N. A.

AI Match Summary

Pobla Mafumet in this Tercera RFEF - Group 5 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pobla Mafumet.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
UE Tona
15%
Draws
42%
Pobla Mafumet
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UE Tona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Pobla Mafumet haven't matched UE Tona's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on UE Tona taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
UE Tona Clean Sheet 20%
Pobla Mafumet Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UE Tona Pobla Mafumet
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 12 7
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.07 0.93
Goals Conceded 1 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Tona vs Pobla Mafumet
1:3
Apr 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Tona vs Pobla Mafumet
3:2
Oct 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Pobla Mafumet vs UE Tona
1:1
Mar 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Pobla Mafumet vs UE Tona
5:2
Nov 13, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Tona vs Pobla Mafumet
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UE Tona Compare

Top Goalscorer Cao T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Pobla Mafumet Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguzzi Bettini N. A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UE Tona 36 / 100
Pobla Mafumet 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UE Tona Pobla Mafumet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

UE Tona scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Pobla Mafumet's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

UE Tona went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UE Tona VS Pobla Mafumet
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UE Tona

(Home)
19 Sept
UE Tona
1 : 3
Pobla Mafumet
13 Sept
Peralada
0 : 1
UE Tona
05 Sept
UE Tona
0 : 1
Mollerussa
02 Aug
UE Tona
2 : 1
Barcelona B
09 May
UE Tona
2 : 0
FC Lescala
Page 1 of 6

Pobla Mafumet

(Away)
19 Sept
UE Tona
1 : 3
Pobla Mafumet
13 Sept
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 1
San Cristobal CP
05 Sept
Vilassar de Mar
1 : 0
Pobla Mafumet
12 May
L Hospitalet
2 : 0
Pobla Mafumet
05 May
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 0
UE Castelldefels
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montanesa 3 3 0 0 5:0 9
2 Pobla Mafumet 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Cornella 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
4 L Hospitalet 3 1 2 0 4:2 5
5 FC Martinenc 3 1 2 0 6:5 5
6 CF Vilanova 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
7 San Cristobal CP 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
8 FE Grama 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
9 CE Atletic Lleida 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
10 Cerdanyola del Valles 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
11 CF Badalona 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
12 FC Lescala 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
13 Mollerussa 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
14 Vilassar de Mar 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
15 UE Tona 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
16 San Juan Atletico de Montcada 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
17 Peralada 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
18 CE Europa B 3 0 2 1 3:5 2
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 (Play Offs)