Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2022/2023

UE Sants

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

UE Tona play UE Sants in the Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, UE Tona averaged 1.07 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. UE Sants averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. In past meetings, UE Tona won 0, UE Sants won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 7, 2023 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for UE Tona and 0.88 for UE Sants. This points to a UE Tona double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%

UE Tona

35%

Draws

24%

UE Sants

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: UE Tona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

UE Tona picked up more points recently compared to UE Sants.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 0.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 42%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

UE Tona Clean Sheet 25%

UE Sants Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	UE Tona	UE Sants
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	5
Draws	15	9
Losses	7	16
Goals Scored	1.07	0.97
Goals Conceded	0.9	1.87

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

UE Tona vs UE Sants

Possession: 45% - 55% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Dec 4, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

UE Sants vs UE Tona

Possession: 50% - 42% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UE Tona 42 / 100

UE Sants 24 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

UE Tona UE Sants

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: UE Tona or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +24.2%

3.03

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.8%

2.78

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

UE Tona attacking → ← attacking UE Sants

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UE Tona scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

UE Sants let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

UE Tona went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

UE Sants lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 24

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CE Europa	30	18	6	6	42:21	60
2	Sant Andreu	30	15	11	4	50:31	56
3	San Cristobal CP	30	14	10	6	36:21	52
4	L Hospitalet	30	15	6	9	53:33	51
5	Peralada	30	14	7	9	41:33	49
6	UE Castelldefels	30	13	5	12	31:35	44
7	Pobla Mafumet	30	12	7	11	40:35	43
8	Girona B	30	12	7	11	45:34	43
9	Montanesa	30	10	10	10	38:38	40
10	FE Grama	30	9	10	11	38:46	37
11	UE Tona	30	8	9	13	36:51	33
12	UE Rapitenca	30	8	8	14	37:48	32
13	CF Badalona	30	7	10	13	32:35	31
14	FC Vilafranca	30	7	9	14	38:55	30
15	Vilassar de Mar	30	6	10	14	33:47	28
16	UE Sants	30	5	9	16	29:56	24
17	Cerdanyola del Valles	0	0	0	0	0:0	0