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Aktobe

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ufa play Aktobe in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ufa averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.32 conceded. Aktobe averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. In past meetings, Ufa won 1, Aktobe won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 16, 2026 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Ufa and 1.25 for Aktobe. This points to a Ufa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

Ufa

18%

Draws

38%

Aktobe

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Ufa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Ufa picked up more points recently compared to Aktobe.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 52%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

Ufa Clean Sheet 19%

Aktobe Clean Sheet 18%

First Half Goal 64%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ufa	Aktobe
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	9	11
Draws	5	5
Losses	14	13
Goals Scored	1.07	1.31
Goals Conceded	1.32	1.45
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2026 Club Friendly

Ufa vs Aktobe

Possession: 44% - 54% Cards: 0 - 1

4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ufa 43 / 100

Aktobe 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ufa Aktobe

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ufa or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +22.3%

2.78

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.8%

2.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ufa attacking → ← attacking Aktobe

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ufa scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Aktobe let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Ufa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Aktobe lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 38

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00