Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ufa vs Leningradets

Russia Russia

FNL BetBoom Arena
Ufa Logo

Ufa

Sat, Jul 11, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Leningradets Logo

Leningradets

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ufa play Leningradets in the FNL. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ufa averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.32 conceded. Leningradets averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. In past meetings, Ufa won 1, Leningradets won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 16, 2020 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Ufa and 1.38 for Leningradets. This points to a Leningradets double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Ufa
19%
Draws
43%
Leningradets
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Leningradets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Ufa picked up more points recently compared to Leningradets.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Ufa Clean Sheet 17%
Leningradets Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ufa Leningradets
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2020 Russian Cup
Leningradets vs Ufa
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ufa 38 / 100
Leningradets 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ufa Leningradets

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Leningradets or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ufa attacking → ← attacking Leningradets

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ufa scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Leningradets let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Ufa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Leningradets lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 45
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88