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Ufa vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL BetBoom Arena, Ufa
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ufa host Pari Nizhny Novgorod in the FNL. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Pari Nizhny Novgorod have shipped 1.29 goals a game lately, while Ufa have conceded 0.97 and scored 0.97. Past meetings favor Pari Nizhny Novgorod slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 21, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 2.06, favoring Pari Nizhny Novgorod. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Ufa
20%
Draws
60%
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pari Nizhny Novgorod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Pari Nizhny Novgorod carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Pari Nizhny Novgorod's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ufa Clean Sheet 10%
Pari Nizhny Novgorod Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ufa Pari Nizhny Novgorod
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 17
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 0.97 2.54
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Ufa
2:1
Jun 16, 2026 Club Friendly
Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Ufa
2:2
Mar 12, 2022 Premier League
Ufa vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
0:0
Aug 14, 2021 Premier League
Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Ufa
1:2
Sep 26, 2018 Russian Cup
Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Ufa
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ufa 10 / 100
Pari Nizhny Novgorod 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ufa Pari Nizhny Novgorod

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pari Nizhny Novgorod Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pari Nizhny Novgorod let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Ufa scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Ufa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ufa VS Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1 Goals Scored 3.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ufa

(Home)
17 Oct
Ufa
2 : 0
Arsenal Tula
11 Oct
PFC Sochi
1 : 0
Ufa
27 Sept
Ufa
0 : 0
Torpedo Moscow
18 Sept
Chelyabinsk
2 : 1
Ufa
13 Sept
Ufa
2 : 2
Ulyanovsk
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Pari Nizhny Novgorod

(Away)
14 Oct
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
4 : 0
Shinnik Yaroslavl
10 Oct
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
5 : 0
Yenisey
27 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 3
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
17 Sept
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
6 : 0
Leningradets
13 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 2
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 14 12 1 1 43:15 37
2 PFC Sochi 14 9 2 3 23:14 29
3 Torpedo Moscow 14 8 3 3 26:11 27
4 S. Kostroma 14 8 3 3 20:13 27
5 Veles Moscow 14 8 2 4 19:17 26
6 Ural 14 7 4 3 22:10 25
7 Ufa 14 5 6 3 18:14 21
8 Shinnik Yaroslavl 13 4 7 2 17:13 19
9 R. Volgograd 14 5 3 6 22:17 18
10 Ulyanovsk 15 5 3 7 20:22 18
11 Arsenal Tula 14 4 4 6 15:26 16
12 Chelyabinsk 13 4 3 6 17:21 15
13 Yenisey 14 3 5 6 16:27 14
14 Kamaz 14 3 4 7 16:23 13
15 Leningradets 14 3 4 7 11:25 13
16 Neftekhimik 14 4 0 10 10:21 12
17 SKA Khabarovsk 14 1 4 9 15:28 7
18 Tekstilshtik 13 1 4 8 8:21 7
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
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