Sport Picks
Match Events
26'
26'
Tsypchenko D.
42'
42'
Yakuev M.
45'
45'
Kamilov V.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this FNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
20%
42%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Torpedo Moscow
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Ufa haven't matched Torpedo Moscow's recent run of results.
- Torpedo Moscow are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular FNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Ufa Clean Sheet 15%
Torpedo Moscow Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ufa | Torpedo Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 18 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.11 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 0.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 6, 2026 FNL
Ufa vs Torpedo Moscow
1:1
Sep 3, 2025 FNL
Torpedo Moscow vs Ufa
0:0
Mar 9, 2025 FNL
Torpedo Moscow vs Ufa
0:0
Aug 31, 2024 FNL
Ufa vs Torpedo Moscow
0:1
Sep 26, 2023 Russian Cup
Ufa vs Torpedo Moscow
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ufa Compare
Top Goalscorer Yakuev M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Torpedo Moscow Compare
Top Goalscorer Yushin A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ufa 19 / 100
Torpedo Moscow 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ufa Torpedo Moscow
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Torpedo Moscow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ufa scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.
Ufa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Torpedo Moscow's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Ufa VS Torpedo Moscow
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ufa
(Home) 28 Aug
Neftekhimik
0 : 1 Ufa
23 Aug
Ufa
3 : 1 Yenisey
17 Aug
S. Kostroma
1 : 1 Ufa
08 Aug
Ural
3 : 0 Ufa
03 Aug
Ufa
1 : 1 Kamaz
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23 Aug
Ufa
3 : 1 Yenisey
03 Aug
Ufa
1 : 1 Kamaz
26 Jul
Ufa
1 : 0 SKA Khabarovsk
11 Jul
Ufa
3 : 0 Leningradets
10 May
Ufa
1 : 0 R. Volgograd
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Torpedo Moscow
(Away) 30 Aug
SKA Khabarovsk
0 : 2 Torpedo Moscow
21 Aug
Torpedo Moscow
3 : 0 S. Kostroma
15 Aug
Chelyabinsk
0 : 4 Torpedo Moscow
08 Aug
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 2 PFC Sochi
02 Aug
Arsenal Tula
1 : 0 Torpedo Moscow
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30 Aug
SKA Khabarovsk
0 : 2 Torpedo Moscow
15 Aug
Chelyabinsk
0 : 4 Torpedo Moscow
02 Aug
Arsenal Tula
1 : 0 Torpedo Moscow
13 Jul
Ural
0 : 1 Torpedo Moscow
03 Jul
PFC Sochi
0 : 3 Torpedo Moscow
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rodina Moscow | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:28 | 68 |
| 2 | Fakel Voronezh | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 44:22 | 68 |
| 3 | Ural | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 51:31 | 61 |
| 4 | R. Volgograd | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 47:26 | 56 |
| 5 | Kamaz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 46:34 | 49 |
| 6 | Yenisey | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 37:35 | 49 |
| 7 | S. Kostroma | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 46:41 | 49 |
| 8 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 34:28 | 48 |
| 9 | Torpedo Moscow | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 37:39 | 46 |
| 10 | Chelyabinsk | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 42:40 | 44 |
| 11 | Neftekhimik | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 40:41 | 43 |
| 12 | SKA Khabarovsk | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37:45 | 42 |
| 13 | Arsenal Tula | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42:44 | 39 |
| 14 | Ulyanovsk | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 35:48 | 37 |
| 15 | Ufa | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:40 | 37 |
| 16 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 37:49 | 35 |
| 17 | Saratov | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 16:44 | 26 |
| 18 | FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30:76 | 22 |
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