Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ufa vs Torpedo Moscow

Russia Russia

FNL 2025/2026 BetBoom Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Tsypchenko D.
42' Event
Yakuev M.
45'
Kamilov V.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this FNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Ufa
33%
Draws
40%
Torpedo Moscow
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Torpedo Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Ufa haven't matched Torpedo Moscow's recent run of results.
  • Torpedo Moscow are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular FNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Ufa Clean Sheet 17%
Torpedo Moscow Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ufa Torpedo Moscow
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 9 16
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 0.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 FNL
Ufa vs Torpedo Moscow
1:1
Sep 3, 2025 FNL
Torpedo Moscow vs Ufa
0:0
Mar 9, 2025 FNL
Torpedo Moscow vs Ufa
0:0
Aug 31, 2024 FNL
Ufa vs Torpedo Moscow
0:1
Sep 26, 2023 Russian Cup
Ufa vs Torpedo Moscow
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ufa Compare

Top Goalscorer Yakuev M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Torpedo Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Yushin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ufa 28 / 100
Torpedo Moscow 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ufa Torpedo Moscow

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ufa scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Ufa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Torpedo Moscow's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Ufa VS Torpedo Moscow
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rodina Moscow341911458:2868
2Fakel Voronezh34208644:2268
3Ural34187951:3161
4R. Volgograd341511847:2656
5Kamaz341213946:3449
6Yenisey3413101137:3549
7S. Kostroma341213946:4149
8Shinnik Yaroslavl341115834:2848
9Torpedo Moscow3412101237:3946
10Chelyabinsk3410141042:4044
11Neftekhimik3410131140:4143
12SKA Khabarovsk3410121237:4542
13Arsenal Tula348151142:4439
14Ulyanovsk349101535:4837
15Ufa349101532:4037
16Chernomorets Novorossijsk34981737:4935
17Saratov345111816:4426
18FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye34572230:7622