Sport Picks

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Uganda Revenue vs Kampala City

Uganda Uganda

Uganda Cup
Sat, Apr 4, 2026
3 - 2
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Uganda Revenue play Kampala City in the Uganda Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Uganda Revenue averaged 1 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Kampala City averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. In past meetings, Uganda Revenue won 2, Kampala City won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 19, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Uganda Revenue and 1.31 for Kampala City. This points to a Kampala City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Uganda Revenue
28%
Draws
50%
Kampala City
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Kampala City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Kampala City has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Uganda Revenue.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Kampala City.
  • Cup tournament structure in Uganda Cup increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Uganda Revenue Clean Sheet 18%
Kampala City Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uganda Revenue Kampala City
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 8 19
Draws 15 4
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Premier League
Uganda Revenue vs Kampala City
0:0
Apr 4, 2026 Uganda Cup
Uganda Revenue vs Kampala City
3:2
Nov 21, 2025 Premier League
Kampala City vs Uganda Revenue
2:1
Apr 16, 2025 Premier League
Uganda Revenue vs Kampala City
1:0
Sep 13, 2024 Premier League
Kampala City vs Uganda Revenue
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uganda Revenue Compare

Top Goalscorer Kisolo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Otti R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Kampala City Compare

Top Goalscorer Mayanja S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Achayi H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uganda Revenue 23 / 100
Kampala City 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uganda Revenue Kampala City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uganda Revenue scored in 50% of their last 34 games.

Kampala City let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Uganda Revenue went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Kampala City lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uganda Revenue VS Kampala City
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Kitara6
Bunyaruguru0
Express FC4
Red Devo0
NEC FC2
Lugazi0
Vipers4
Iganga United0
Uganda Revenue3
Tapoh0
Kampala City5
Onduparaka0
Happy Boy1
Six Oclock0
Villa1
Maroons0
Quarter-finals
Kitara3
Express FC0
NEC FC0
Vipers1
Uganda Revenue3
Kampala City2
Happy Boy0
Villa1
Semi-finals
Kitara1
Vipers1
Uganda Revenue0
Villa3
Final
Kitara2
Villa1