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Uganda Revenue vs Villa

Uganda Uganda

Premier League Hamz Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Uganda Revenue play Villa in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Uganda Revenue averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Villa averaged 1.48 goals scored and 0.48 conceded. In past meetings, Uganda Revenue won 0, Villa won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.63 for Uganda Revenue and 1.38 for Villa. This points to a Villa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Uganda Revenue
33%
Draws
45%
Villa
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Villa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Uganda Revenue picked up more points recently compared to Villa.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.63 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Uganda Revenue Clean Sheet 17%
Villa Clean Sheet 21%
First Half Goal 48%
Second Half Goal 50%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uganda Revenue Villa
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 20
Draws 12 6
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 0.97 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Uganda Cup
Villa vs Uganda Revenue
1:0
May 4, 2026 Uganda Cup
Uganda Revenue vs Villa
0:2
Feb 14, 2026 Premier League
Uganda Revenue vs Villa
0:0
Dec 11, 2025 Premier League
Villa vs Uganda Revenue
3:0
Apr 30, 2025 Premier League
Uganda Revenue vs Villa
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uganda Revenue 23 / 100
Villa 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uganda Revenue Villa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Villa or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +57.1%
7.14
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +23.2%
3.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Uganda Revenue attacking → ← attacking Villa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uganda Revenue scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Villa let in goals in 39% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Uganda Revenue went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Villa lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 66
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vipers301910155:1767
2Kampala City30195646:2262
3Villa30187547:1761
4Kitara30168643:2256
5Entebbe UPPC30149730:2051
6NEC FC301312531:2251
7Police30138942:3547
8Maroons309111026:2738
9BUL309101130:3337
10Express FC309101128:3137
11Uganda Revenue30516927:3031
12Mbarara City30691526:4627
13Lugazi305101519:3625
14UPDF FC30571824:4122
15Calvary30491714:3921
16Buhimba30432316:6615