Sport Picks

World

Friendly International Women 2024

Wales U16 W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Uganda U16 W play Wales U16 W in the Friendly International Women 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Uganda U16 W averaged 1 goals scored and 3.5 conceded. Wales U16 W averaged 0.94 goals scored and 3.63 conceded. In past meetings, Uganda U16 W won 0, Wales U16 W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 13, 2024 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.69 for Uganda U16 W and 2.00 for Wales U16 W. This points to a Uganda U16 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Uganda U16 W

15%

Draws

38%

Wales U16 W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uganda U16 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Uganda U16 W picked up more points recently compared to Wales U16 W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.69 vs 2.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81%

Over 2.5 Goals 81%

Over 3.5 Goals 49%

Over 4.5 Goals 24%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

Uganda U16 W Clean Sheet 10%

Wales U16 W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 73%

Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Uganda U16 W	Wales U16 W
Matches Played	4	16
Wins	1	2
Draws	0	0
Losses	3	14
Goals Scored	1	0.94
Goals Conceded	3.5	3.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.50	4.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2024 Friendly International Women

Uganda U16 W vs Wales U16 W

Possession: 48% - 52% Cards: 0 - 0

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uganda U16 W 44 / 100

Wales U16 W 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Uganda U16 W Wales U16 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Uganda U16 W or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20.3%

2.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +7.7%

1.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Uganda U16 W attacking → ← attacking Wales U16 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uganda U16 W scored in 50% of their last 4 games.

Wales U16 W let in goals in 94% of their last 16 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Uganda U16 W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Wales U16 W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

3 Points in last 5 6

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50

3.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.38