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Uganda U20 vs Burundi U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CECAFA Championship U20 Uhuru Stadium, Dar-es-Salaam
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Ssozi D.
83' Event
Kyakuwa A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Uganda U20
15%
Draws
28%
Burundi U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uganda U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Uganda U20 have won more games recently than Burundi U20.
  • Uganda U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Uganda U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Uganda U20, who have won 4 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Uganda U20 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Uganda U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Burundi U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uganda U20 Burundi U20
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 24 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 2.14 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2026 CECAFA Championship U20
Uganda U20 vs Burundi U20
2:0
Oct 20, 2024 CECAFA Championship U20
Uganda U20 vs Burundi U20
3:1
Oct 9, 2024 CECAFA Championship U20
Uganda U20 vs Burundi U20
4:1
Nov 25, 2020 CECAFA Championship U20
Uganda U20 vs Burundi U20
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uganda U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ssozi D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kyakuwa A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Burundi U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uganda U20 95 / 100
Burundi U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uganda U20 Burundi U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uganda U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uganda U20's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Burundi U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Uganda U20 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Uganda U20 VS Burundi U20
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Uganda U20

(Home)
24 Sept
Uganda U20
2 : 0
Burundi U20
22 Sept
Uganda U20
2 : 3
Sudan U20
19 Sept
Sudan U20
0 : 1
Uganda U20
15 Sept
Uganda U20
4 : 1
Djibouti U20
20 Oct
Uganda U20
3 : 1
Burundi U20
Page 1 of 8

Burundi U20

(Away)
24 Sept
Uganda U20
2 : 0
Burundi U20
22 Sept
Tanzania U20
2 : 0
Burundi U20
17 Sept
Burundi U20
2 : 0
Kenya U20
15 Sept
South Sudan U20
0 : 4
Burundi U20
20 Oct
Uganda U20
3 : 1
Burundi U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Tanzania U20 2
Burundi U20 0
Uganda U20 2
Sudan U20 3
Final
Tanzania U20 1
Sudan U20 2
Burundi U20 0
Uganda U20 2