Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uganda U20 vs Djibouti U20

Africa Africa

CECAFA Championship U20 Uhuru Stadium, Dar-es-Salaam
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Magala I.
24' Event
Tahir I.
44' Event
Ocen G. O.

AI Match Summary

The CECAFA Championship U20 game between Uganda U20 and Djibouti U20 finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uganda U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Uganda U20
15%
Draws
0%
Djibouti U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uganda U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Uganda U20 come out ahead of Djibouti U20 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Uganda U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this CECAFA Championship U20 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 54%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Uganda U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Djibouti U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uganda U20 Djibouti U20
Matches Played 38 24
Wins 25 1
Draws 6 1
Losses 7 22
Goals Scored 2.11 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.89 3.88
Expected Goals (xG) 3.10 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 CECAFA Championship U20
Uganda U20 vs Djibouti U20
4:1
Sep 23, 2019 Friendly International
Djibouti U20 vs Uganda U20
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uganda U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Magala I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ocen G. O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.38
Avg xA / game 1.55

Djibouti U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tahir I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uganda U20 85 / 100
Djibouti U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uganda U20 Djibouti U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uganda U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Uganda U20 scored in 82% of their last 38 outings.

Djibouti U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 24 matches.

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Djibouti U20 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Uganda U20 VS Djibouti U20
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 4.33
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 83%

Recent Form & Match History

Uganda U20

(Home)
24 Sept
Uganda U20
2 : 0
Burundi U20
22 Sept
Uganda U20
2 : 3
Sudan U20
19 Sept
Sudan U20
0 : 1
Uganda U20
15 Sept
Uganda U20
4 : 1
Djibouti U20
20 Oct
Uganda U20
3 : 1
Burundi U20
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Djibouti U20

(Away)
17 Sept
Djibouti U20
0 : 3
Sudan U20
15 Sept
Uganda U20
4 : 1
Djibouti U20
15 Oct
Rwanda U20
5 : 1
Djibouti U20
13 Oct
Djibouti U20
0 : 4
Kenya U20
08 Oct
Tanzania U20
7 : 0
Djibouti U20
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tanzania U20 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
2 Rwanda U20 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
3 Ethiopia U20 2 0 1 1 0:4 1
Promotion - CECAFA Championship U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda U20 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 Sudan U20 2 1 0 1 3:1 3
3 Djibouti U20 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - CECAFA Championship U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burundi U20 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
2 Kenya U20 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
3 South Sudan U20 2 0 1 1 1:5 1
Promotion - CECAFA Championship U20 (Play Offs)