Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uganda U20 vs South Sudan U20

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U20 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

56'
Sub
Abishai F. A. In: Santos P.
Out: Abishai F. A.
56'
Sub
Loro J. In: Norman L.
Out: Loro J.
57'
Sub
Mabok S. In: Taban K.
Out: Mabok S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Uganda U20
20%
Draws
24%
South Sudan U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Uganda U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Uganda U20 come out ahead of South Sudan U20 on wins alone.
  • Uganda U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Uganda U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Uganda U20, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Uganda U20 Clean Sheet 68%
South Sudan U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uganda U20 South Sudan U20
Matches Played 32 24
Wins 21 7
Draws 4 6
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.91 0.92
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2024 CECAFA Championship U20
Uganda U20 vs South Sudan U20
2:2
Mar 15, 2024 African Games
Uganda U20 vs South Sudan U20
1:0
Feb 26, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Uganda U20 vs South Sudan U20
0:0
Nov 11, 2022 CECAFA Championship U20
South Sudan U20 vs Uganda U20
1:2
Nov 23, 2020 CECAFA Championship U20
South Sudan U20 vs Uganda U20
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uganda U20 95 / 100
South Sudan U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uganda U20 South Sudan U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uganda U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uganda U20 found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

South Sudan U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 24 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Uganda U20 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uganda U20 VS South Sudan U20
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Uganda U20

(Home)
24 Sept
Uganda U20
2 : 0
Burundi U20
22 Sept
Uganda U20
2 : 3
Sudan U20
19 Sept
Sudan U20
0 : 1
Uganda U20
15 Sept
Uganda U20
4 : 1
Djibouti U20
20 Oct
Uganda U20
3 : 1
Burundi U20
Page 1 of 7

South Sudan U20

(Away)
19 Sept
Kenya U20
1 : 1
South Sudan U20
15 Sept
South Sudan U20
0 : 4
Burundi U20
11 Oct
Uganda U20
2 : 2
South Sudan U20
09 Oct
South Sudan U20
2 : 1
Ethiopia U20
07 Oct
South Sudan U20
0 : 1
Burundi U20
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal U20 3 3 0 0 8:0 9
2 Nigeria U20 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
3 Egypt U20 3 0 1 2 0:5 1
4 Mozambique U20 3 0 1 2 0:5 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Congo U20 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
2 Uganda U20 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
3 South Sudan U20 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Central Africa U20 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gambia U20 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
2 Tunisia U20 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Benin U20 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
4 Zambia U20 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams