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Uganda U20 vs Sudan U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CECAFA Championship U20 Uhuru Stadium, Dar-es-Salaam
Uganda U20 Logo

Uganda U20

2 - 3
FT
Sudan U20 Logo

Sudan U20

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Okello R.
10' Event
Mohamed R. Y.
48' Event
Waheed Shandi
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. This leg finished 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Uganda U20
15%
Draws
36%
Sudan U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uganda U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Uganda U20 have won more games recently than Sudan U20.
  • Model gives Uganda U20 a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Uganda U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sudan U20, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Uganda U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Sudan U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uganda U20 Sudan U20
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.84 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 CECAFA Championship U20
Uganda U20 vs Sudan U20
2:3
Sep 19, 2026 CECAFA Championship U20
Sudan U20 vs Uganda U20
0:1
Nov 8, 2022 CECAFA Championship U20
Sudan U20 vs Uganda U20
0:2
Sep 25, 2019 Friendly International
Uganda U20 vs Sudan U20
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uganda U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Okello R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ssozi D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Sudan U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mohamed R. Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Waheed Shandi
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uganda U20 95 / 100
Sudan U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uganda U20 Sudan U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uganda U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uganda U20 scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Sudan U20 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Uganda U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uganda U20 VS Sudan U20
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Uganda U20

(Home)
24 Sept
Uganda U20
2 : 0
Burundi U20
22 Sept
Uganda U20
2 : 3
Sudan U20
19 Sept
Sudan U20
0 : 1
Uganda U20
15 Sept
Uganda U20
4 : 1
Djibouti U20
20 Oct
Uganda U20
3 : 1
Burundi U20
Page 1 of 7

Sudan U20

(Away)
24 Sept
Tanzania U20
1 : 2
Sudan U20
22 Sept
Uganda U20
2 : 3
Sudan U20
19 Sept
Sudan U20
0 : 1
Uganda U20
17 Sept
Djibouti U20
0 : 3
Sudan U20
15 Oct
Sudan U20
0 : 4
Kenya U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Tanzania U20 2
Burundi U20 0
Uganda U20 2
Sudan U20 3
Final
Tanzania U20 1
Sudan U20 2
Burundi U20 0
Uganda U20 2