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Uganda U20 vs Tanzania U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

CECAFA Championship U20 2024
Fri, Oct 18, 2024
1 - 2
12:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Majub T.
Assist: Oyirwoth A.
73' Event
Magada A.
Own Goal
120' Event
Simba J.
Assist: Kondo S.

AI Match Summary

Tanzania U20 in this CECAFA Championship U20 2024 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Uganda U20
15%
Draws
36%
Tanzania U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uganda U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Uganda U20 lately — more wins on the board than Tanzania U20.
  • Model gives Uganda U20 a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Uganda U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Uganda U20, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Uganda U20 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Uganda U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Tanzania U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uganda U20 Tanzania U20
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 19 12
Draws 3 5
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.83 1.67
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.51 1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2024 CECAFA Championship U20
Uganda U20 vs Tanzania U20
1:2
Oct 29, 2022 CECAFA Championship U20
Uganda U20 vs Tanzania U20
2:0
Dec 2, 2020 CECAFA Championship U20
Uganda U20 vs Tanzania U20
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uganda U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Majub T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.16
Avg xA / game 0.76

Tanzania U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Simba J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uganda U20 42 / 100
Tanzania U20 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uganda U20 Tanzania U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Uganda U20 scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Tanzania U20 let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Uganda U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uganda U20 VS Tanzania U20
2.14 Goals Scored 1
1.29 Goals Conceded 0.88
86% Over 1.5 50%
71% Over 2.5 50%
57% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Uganda U20

(Home)
24 Sept
Uganda U20
2 : 0
Burundi U20
22 Sept
Uganda U20
2 : 3
Sudan U20
19 Sept
Sudan U20
0 : 1
Uganda U20
15 Sept
Uganda U20
4 : 1
Djibouti U20
20 Oct
Uganda U20
3 : 1
Burundi U20
Page 1 of 6

Tanzania U20

(Away)
24 Sept
Tanzania U20
1 : 2
Sudan U20
22 Sept
Tanzania U20
2 : 0
Burundi U20
19 Sept
Ethiopia U20
0 : 4
Tanzania U20
15 Sept
Tanzania U20
3 : 0
Rwanda U20
09 May
Tanzania U20
0 : 1
Egypt U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Tanzania U20 2
Uganda U20 1
Kenya U20 4
Burundi U20 0
Final
Tanzania U20 2
Kenya U20 1
Uganda U20 3
Burundi U20 1