Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uganda U23 vs D.R. Congo U23

Africa Africa

CECAFA Championship
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Sub
Sserwadda S. In: Anukani B.
Out: Sserwadda S.
63'
Sub
Mukwala S. In: Ssenyonjo S.
Out: Mukwala S.
63'
Sub
Kakooza D. In: Yiga N.
Out: Kakooza D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this CECAFA Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Uganda U23
20%
Draws
44%
D.R. Congo U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: D.R. Congo U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Uganda U23 haven't matched D.R. Congo U23's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Uganda U23 taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Uganda U23 Clean Sheet 68%
D.R. Congo U23 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uganda U23 D.R. Congo U23
Matches Played 9 11
Wins 1 2
Draws 4 2
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 0.78 0.64
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 0.98 0.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2021 CECAFA Championship
Uganda U23 vs D.R. Congo U23
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uganda U23 50 / 100
D.R. Congo U23 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uganda U23 D.R. Congo U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uganda U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uganda U23 scored in 71% of their last 7 games.

D.R. Congo U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 11 matches.

Solid form: Uganda U23 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

D.R. Congo U23's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Uganda U23 VS D.R. Congo U23
0.83 Goals Scored 0.13
0.67 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 38%
33% Over 2.5 38%
17% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Uganda U23

(Home)
29 Oct
Uganda U23
:
Guinea U23
23 Oct
Guinea U23
:
Uganda U23
28 Jul
Eritrea U23
1 : 2
Uganda U23
24 Jul
Uganda U23
1 : 1
Tanzania U23
18 Jul
Uganda U23
0 : 0
D.R. Congo U23
Page 1 of 2

D.R. Congo U23

(Away)
30 Mar
Algeria U23
1 : 0
D.R. Congo U23
27 Mar
Algeria U23
1 : 0
D.R. Congo U23
30 Oct
Algeria U23
3 : 1
D.R. Congo U23
23 Oct
D.R. Congo U23
4 : 1
Algeria U23
27 Sept
D.R. Congo U23
1 : 0
Ethiopia U23
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tanzania U23 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Uganda U23 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
3 D.R. Congo U23 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
Promotion - CECAFA Championship (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burundi U23 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
2 Ethiopia U23 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
3 Eritrea U23 2 0 1 1 3:6 1
Promotion - CECAFA Championship (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kenya U23 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 South Sudan U23 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Djibouti U23 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
Promotion - CECAFA Championship (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams