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Uganda U23 vs Tanzania U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

CECAFA Championship
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Bajana S.
(Penalty)
41' Event
Mukwala S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this CECAFA Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Uganda U23
35%
Draws
24%
Tanzania U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Uganda U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tanzania U23 lately — more wins on the board than Uganda U23.
  • Model gives Uganda U23 a 41% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Uganda U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Tanzania U23 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uganda U23 Tanzania U23
Matches Played 9 9
Wins 1 3
Draws 4 4
Losses 4 2
Goals Scored 0.78 1
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2021 CECAFA Championship
Uganda U23 vs Tanzania U23
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uganda U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mukwala S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Tanzania U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uganda U23 86 / 100
Tanzania U23 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uganda U23 Tanzania U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uganda U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uganda U23 scored in 71% of their last 7 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Uganda U23 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tanzania U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 9 matches.

Scoring Trends

Uganda U23 VS Tanzania U23
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Uganda U23

(Home)
29 Oct
Uganda U23
:
Guinea U23
23 Oct
Guinea U23
:
Uganda U23
28 Jul
Eritrea U23
1 : 2
Uganda U23
24 Jul
Uganda U23
1 : 1
Tanzania U23
18 Jul
Uganda U23
0 : 0
D.R. Congo U23
Page 1 of 2

Tanzania U23

(Away)
28 Sept
Kenya U23
4 : 1
Tanzania U23
29 Oct
Nigeria U23
2 : 0
Tanzania U23
22 Oct
Tanzania U23
1 : 1
Nigeria U23
26 Sept
South Sudan U23
3 : 3
Tanzania U23
23 Sept
Tanzania U23
0 : 0
South Sudan U23
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tanzania U23 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Uganda U23 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
3 D.R. Congo U23 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
Promotion - CECAFA Championship (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burundi U23 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
2 Ethiopia U23 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
3 Eritrea U23 2 0 1 1 3:6 1
Promotion - CECAFA Championship (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kenya U23 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 South Sudan U23 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Djibouti U23 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
Promotion - CECAFA Championship (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams