Sport Picks

World

Friendly International 2025

Chad

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Uganda play Chad in the Friendly International 2025. Uganda are favorites here. Recently, Uganda averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Chad averaged 0.57 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Uganda won 1, Chad won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 14, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.12 for Uganda and 1.05 for Chad. This points to a Uganda double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%

Uganda

20%

Draws

12%

Chad

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Uganda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Uganda picked up more points recently compared to Chad.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.12 vs 1.05 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 51%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

Uganda Clean Sheet 22%

Chad Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Uganda	Chad
Matches Played	24	30
Wins	11	2
Draws	3	8
Losses	10	20
Goals Scored	1.21	0.57
Goals Conceded	1.33	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	2.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2025 Friendly International

Uganda vs Chad

Possession: 52% - 44% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uganda Compare

Top Goalscorer Lorenzen M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Chad Compare

Avg xG / game 0.78

Avg xA / game 0.48

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uganda 66 / 100

Chad 13 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Uganda Chad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uganda Win (1)

Secondary Pick Uganda & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +13.6%

1.67

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.2%

2.22

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Uganda attacking → ← attacking Chad

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uganda scored in 75% of their last 24 games.

Chad let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Uganda went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Chad lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 14

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.86

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.86