Sport Picks

World

Friendly International 2025

Gabon

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Uganda play Gabon in the Friendly International 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Uganda averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Gabon averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.54 conceded. In past meetings, Uganda won 0, Gabon won 1, and they drew 4. Their last match on Dec 17, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Uganda and 1.63 for Gabon. This points to a Gabon double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Uganda

33%

Draws

34%

Gabon

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Gabon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Uganda picked up more points recently compared to Gabon.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 70%

Over 2.5 Goals 51%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%

Uganda Clean Sheet 14%

Gabon Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 63%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Uganda	Gabon
Matches Played	24	28
Wins	11	13
Draws	3	4
Losses	10	11
Goals Scored	1.21	1.57
Goals Conceded	1.33	1.54
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 17, 2025 Friendly International

Uganda vs Gabon

Possession: 57% - 40% Cards: 2 - 1

0:0

Dec 29, 2016 Friendly International

Uganda vs Gabon

Possession: 55% - 43% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Jan 10, 2016 Friendly International

Uganda vs Gabon

Possession: 40% - 57% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Jan 7, 2014 Friendly International

Gabon vs Uganda

Possession: 57% - 59% Cards: 3 - 4

0:0

Feb 12, 2011 African Nations Championship

Gabon vs Uganda

Possession: 51% - 52% Cards: 1 - 0

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uganda 33 / 100

Gabon 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Uganda Gabon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Gabon or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +32%

4.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.2%

2.22

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Uganda attacking → ← attacking Gabon

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uganda scored in 75% of their last 24 games.

Gabon let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Uganda went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Gabon lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 43

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13