Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uganda W vs Rwanda W

World World

Olympic Games Women 2024
Uganda W Logo

Uganda W

3 - 3
FT
Rwanda W Logo

Rwanda W

Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Mukhirwa P.
45' Event
Nyanagahirwa S.
54' Event
Hasifah N.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Olympic Games Women 2024 tie, finishing 3-3. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Uganda W
20%
Draws
32%
Rwanda W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Uganda W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Uganda W have won more games recently than Rwanda W.
  • Model gives Uganda W a 48% chance of winning this.
  • Uganda W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Uganda W, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Uganda W Clean Sheet 20%
Rwanda W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uganda W Rwanda W
Matches Played 34 25
Wins 18 3
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.94 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.18 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2023 Olympic Games Women
Rwanda W vs Uganda W
0:1
Jul 12, 2023 Olympic Games Women
Uganda W vs Rwanda W
3:3
Jun 1, 2022 CECAFA Championship Women
Uganda W vs Rwanda W
2:0
Jul 25, 2018 CECAFA Championship Women
Rwanda W vs Uganda W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uganda W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nyanagahirwa S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ikwaput F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Rwanda W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mukhirwa P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nibagwire L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uganda W 85 / 100
Rwanda W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uganda W Rwanda W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uganda W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rwanda W let in goals in 87% of their last 23 matches.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Uganda W scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Rwanda W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uganda W VS Rwanda W
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 3.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Uganda W

(Home)
19 Jun
Uganda W
0 : 2
Tanzania W
17 Jun
Kenya W
4 : 0
Uganda W
15 Jun
South Sudan W
0 : 5
Uganda W
13 Jun
Uganda W
0 : 1
Burundi W
26 Feb
Ethiopia W
3 : 0
Uganda W
Page 1 of 7

Rwanda W

(Away)
25 Feb
Egypt W
2 : 2
Rwanda W
21 Feb
Rwanda W
0 : 1
Egypt W
26 Sept
Ghana W
5 : 0
Rwanda W
20 Sept
Rwanda W
0 : 7
Ghana W
16 Sept
Rwanda W
1 : 1
Burundi W
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Guinea Bissau W 4
Benin W 5
Guinea W 0
Ghana W 7
Burkina Faso W 2
Mali W 3
TBD -
Zambia W -
Ivory Coast W -
Sierra Leone W -
TBD -
Tunisia W -
Namibia W 2
Equatorial Guinea W 0
TBD -
Morocco W -
Uganda W 4
Rwanda W 3
TBD -
Cameroon W -
Ethiopia W 10
Chad W 0
TBD -
Nigeria W -
Congo W -
Tanzania W -
TBD -
Botswana W -
Mozambique W -
D.R. Congo W -
TBD -
South Africa W -
Quarter-finals
Benin W 0
Ghana W 5
Mali W -
Zambia W -
Ivory Coast W -
Tunisia W -
Namibia W 0
Morocco W 4
Uganda W 2
Cameroon W 3
Ethiopia W 1
Nigeria W 5
Tanzania W 3
Botswana W 0
D.R. Congo W 1
South Africa W 3
Semi-finals
Ghana W 3
Zambia W 4
Tunisia W 2
Morocco W 6
Cameroon W 0
Nigeria W 1
Tanzania W 0
South Africa W 4
Final
Zambia W 3
Morocco W 2
Nigeria W 1
South Africa W 0