Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uganda W vs Zambia W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Olympic Games Women
Uganda W Logo

Uganda W

2 - 1
FT
Zambia W Logo

Zambia W

Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Chilufya P.
34' Event
Nabukenya A.
58' Event
Kabene S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Uganda W in this Olympic Games Women tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Uganda W
15%
Draws
42%
Zambia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uganda W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zambia W lately — more wins on the board than Uganda W.
  • Model gives Zambia W a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Zambia W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Uganda W have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Uganda W Clean Sheet 20%
Zambia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uganda W Zambia W
Matches Played 33 38
Wins 17 20
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.7 1.92
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2022 Friendly International Women
Zambia W vs Uganda W
0:5
Oct 5, 2021 COSAFA Cup Women
Zambia W vs Uganda W
1:0
Sep 21, 2018 COSAFA Cup Women
Zambia W vs Uganda W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uganda W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nabukenya A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kabene S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Zambia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Chilufya P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uganda W 28 / 100
Zambia W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uganda W Zambia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zambia W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Uganda W scored in 76% of their last 33 outings.

Defensive concern: Zambia W conceded in 65% of 37 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Zambia W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uganda W VS Zambia W
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Uganda W

(Home)
08 Oct
Uganda W
2 : 1
Zambia W
19 Jun
Uganda W
0 : 2
Tanzania W
17 Jun
Kenya W
4 : 0
Uganda W
15 Jun
South Sudan W
0 : 5
Uganda W
13 Jun
Uganda W
0 : 1
Burundi W
Page 1 of 7

Zambia W

(Away)
08 Oct
Uganda W
2 : 1
Zambia W
05 Aug
Malawi W
1 : 2
Zambia W
01 Aug
Nigeria W
1 : 0
Zambia W
28 Jul
Zambia W
6 : 0
Egypt W
22 Jul
Algeria W
1 : 0
Zambia W
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Tunisia W -
TBD -
TBD -
Senegal W -
Benin W -
TBD -
TBD -
Mali W -
Congo W -
TBD -
TBD -
Morocco W -
Sudan W 0
Comoros W 30
TBD -
Nigeria W -
Guinea W -
TBD -
TBD -
Cameroon W -
D.R. Congo W -
TBD -
TBD -
Ivory Coast W -
Central Africa W -
TBD -
TBD -
Algeria W -
Burkina Faso W -
TBD -
TBD -
Equatorial Guinea W -
Rwanda W -
TBD -
TBD -
Ethiopia W -
Botswana W -
TBD -
TBD -
Tanzania W -
Angola W -
TBD -
TBD -
Namibia W -
South Sudan W 1
Madagascar W 2
TBD -
South Africa W -
Seychelles W -
TBD -
TBD -
Kenya W -
Malawi W -
TBD -
TBD -
Zimbabwe W -
Uganda W -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia W -
Mauritius W 3
Djibouti W 1
TBD -
Ghana W -
1/8-finals
Tunisia W 0
Senegal W 1
Benin W 3
Mali W 1
Congo W -
Morocco W -
Comoros W 0
Nigeria W 2
Guinea W -
Cameroon W -
D.R. Congo W 1
Ivory Coast W 4
Central Africa W 0
Algeria W 8
Burkina Faso W 3
Equatorial Guinea W 1
Rwanda W 0
Ethiopia W 1
Botswana W 0
Tanzania W 1
Angola W 0
Namibia W 0
Madagascar W 0
South Africa W 4
Seychelles W 0
Kenya W 11
Malawi W 2
Zimbabwe W 0
Uganda W 2
Zambia W 1
Mauritius W 0
Ghana W 3
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
Morocco W -
TBD -
Cameroon W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -