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Ugyen Academy vs Drukpa Prediction & H2H Stats

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Eugine P.
41' Event
Limboo S. K.
55' Event
Jamtsho K. T.

AI Match Summary

Drukpa in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Drukpa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Ugyen Academy
15%
Draws
59%
Drukpa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Drukpa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ugyen Academy lately — more wins on the board than Drukpa.
  • Model gives Drukpa a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Ugyen Academy Clean Sheet 10%
Drukpa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ugyen Academy Drukpa
Matches Played 32 17
Wins 10 6
Draws 1 5
Losses 21 6
Goals Scored 1.44 2.06
Goals Conceded 2.81 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2026 Premier League
Ugyen Academy vs Drukpa
2:4
May 9, 2026 Premier League
Drukpa vs Ugyen Academy
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ugyen Academy Compare

Top Goalscorer Limboo S. K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Drukpa Compare

Top Goalscorer Tobgay K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Eugine P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ugyen Academy 10 / 100
Drukpa 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ugyen Academy Drukpa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Drukpa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Drukpa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 17 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Ugyen Academy scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Ugyen Academy has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ugyen Academy VS Drukpa
0.25 Goals Scored 2
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
38% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ugyen Academy

(Home)
27 Sept
Tsirang
1 : 4
Ugyen Academy
24 Sept
Ugyen Academy
2 : 4
Drukpa
21 Sept
Thimphu FC
1 : 0
Ugyen Academy
13 Sept
Thimphu City
6 : 0
Ugyen Academy
08 Sept
Ugyen Academy
0 : 10
Paro
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Drukpa

(Away)
24 Sept
Ugyen Academy
2 : 4
Drukpa
20 Sept
Tensung
1 : 3
Drukpa
14 Sept
Drukpa
1 : 3
RTC
11 Sept
Thimphu FC
2 : 1
Drukpa
21 Aug
Drukpa
2 : 2
Thimphu City
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paro 16 14 1 1 66:12 43
2 Thimphu City 17 12 4 1 49:12 40
3 Thimphu FC 18 10 2 6 27:22 32
4 Transport United 18 9 3 6 28:24 30
5 RTC 18 8 4 6 29:20 28
6 Drukpa 18 6 6 6 36:29 24
7 BFF Academy U19 17 5 5 7 29:39 20
8 Tsirang 18 4 4 10 27:48 16
9 Tensung 18 2 2 14 14:53 8
10 Ugyen Academy 18 2 1 15 15:61 7
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