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Ugyen Academy vs Samtse

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2012/2013 game between Ugyen Academy and Samtse finished 8-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ugyen Academy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Ugyen Academy
15%
Draws
42%
Samtse
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ugyen Academy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Samtse haven't matched Ugyen Academy's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ugyen Academy a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ugyen Academy here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Ugyen Academy Clean Sheet 10%
Samtse Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ugyen Academy Samtse
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 1 2
Losses 21 21
Goals Scored 1.52 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.97 4.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2025 Premier League
Ugyen Academy vs Samtse
3:0
May 16, 2025 Premier League
Samtse vs Ugyen Academy
4:3
Feb 23, 2013 Premier League
Samtse vs Ugyen Academy
1:2
Jan 13, 2013 Premier League
Ugyen Academy vs Samtse
8:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ugyen Academy 83 / 100
Samtse 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ugyen Academy Samtse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ugyen Academy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samtse has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

Ugyen Academy's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Difficult form: Samtse registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ugyen Academy VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
3.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ugyen Academy

(Home)
27 Sept
Tsirang
1 : 4
Ugyen Academy
24 Sept
Ugyen Academy
2 : 4
Drukpa
21 Sept
Thimphu FC
1 : 0
Ugyen Academy
13 Sept
Thimphu City
6 : 0
Ugyen Academy
08 Sept
Ugyen Academy
0 : 10
Paro
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Samtse

(Away)
03 Oct
Samtse
0 : 2
Tensung
25 Sept
RTC
12 : 1
Samtse
23 Sept
Samtse
1 : 10
Thimphu City
17 Sept
Samtse
1 : 9
Transport United
13 Sept
Samtse
9 : 0
Southern City
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