Sport Picks

Bhutan

Premier League

Ugyen Academy

2 - 4

Thimphu FC

Our Tip

Match Events

Chizoba C.

16'

Wilson R.

19'

Rai R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Ugyen Academy and Thimphu FC finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thimphu FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Ugyen Academy

39%

Draws

30%

Thimphu FC

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Ugyen Academy carry the better recent record into this one.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Ugyen Academy Clean Sheet 10%

Thimphu FC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ugyen Academy	Thimphu FC
Matches Played	39	33
Wins	17	15
Draws	1	2
Losses	21	16
Goals Scored	1.38	1.13
Goals Conceded	4.13	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	4.13	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2026 Premier League

Ugyen Academy vs Thimphu FC

Possession: 52% - 52% Cards: 2 - 3

2:4

Oct 20, 2018 Premier League

Thimphu FC vs Ugyen Academy

Possession: 53% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

1:2

Sep 26, 2018 Premier League

Ugyen Academy vs Thimphu FC

Possession: 53% - 57% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Sep 10, 2017 Premier League

Ugyen Academy vs Thimphu FC

Possession: 42% - 54% Cards: 1 - 1

4:0

Jul 25, 2017 Premier League

Thimphu FC vs Ugyen Academy

Possession: 51% - 58% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ugyen Academy Compare

Top Goalscorer Rai R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Limboo S. K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Thimphu FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Wilson R.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Chizoba C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ugyen Academy 30 / 100

Thimphu FC 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ugyen Academy Thimphu FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick THI Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ugyen Academy scored in 82% of their last 39 games.

Thimphu FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Thimphu FC has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ugyen Academy VS Thimphu FC

1.38 Goals Scored 1.13

4.13 Goals Conceded 1.13

88% Over 1.5 63%

88% Over 2.5 38%

88% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Paro	9	7	1	1	36:8	22
2	Thimphu City	9	6	2	1	23:6	20
3	Transport United	9	6	0	3	13:11	18
4	RTC	9	4	2	3	11:11	14
5	Thimphu FC	9	4	1	4	10:14	13
6	Tsirang	9	3	2	4	14:15	11
7	BFF Academy U19	9	3	2	4	17:19	11
8	Drukpa	9	2	4	3	15:12	10
9	Tensung	9	1	2	6	3:19	5
10	Ugyen Academy	9	1	0	8	7:34	3