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Uirapuru vs Acao

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Uirapuru in this Matogrossense 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uirapuru.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Uirapuru
30%
Draws
37%
Acao
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Acao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Acao have won more games recently than Uirapuru.
  • Uirapuru are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Matogrossense 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Uirapuru Clean Sheet 10%
Acao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uirapuru Acao
Matches Played 12 32
Wins 5 9
Draws 2 5
Losses 5 18
Goals Scored 2.25 1.34
Goals Conceded 2.08 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Uirapuru vs Acao
2:2
Jun 18, 2025 Matogrossense 2
Uirapuru vs Acao
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uirapuru 40 / 100
Acao 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uirapuru Acao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Acao conceded in 91% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

Uirapuru's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 12 recent games.

Solid form: Uirapuru remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Uirapuru VS Acao
2.75 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Uirapuru

(Home)
19 Sept
Uirapuru
2 : 3
Santa Cruz MT
16 Sept
Chapada
1 : 1
Uirapuru
30 May
Uirapuru
0 : 2
Cacerense
24 May
Cacerense
1 : 2
Uirapuru
17 May
Atletico MT
1 : 7
Uirapuru
Page 1 of 3

Acao

(Away)
20 May
Acao
1 : 2
Santa Cruz MT
17 May
Acao
2 : 1
Cacerense
09 May
Paulistano FC
1 : 2
Acao
02 May
Uirapuru
2 : 2
Acao
20 Apr
Acao
2 : 2
Atletico MT
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sorriso EC 4 4 0 0 12:3 12
2 Chapada 4 2 1 1 10:5 7
3 Santa Cruz MT 4 2 1 1 8:4 7
4 Campo Novo 4 1 0 3 5:12 3
5 Atletico MT 4 0 0 4 4:15 0
6 Juara 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cacerense 4 3 1 0 8:2 10
2 Várzea Grande EC 4 2 1 1 8:8 7
3 Dom Bosco 4 2 0 2 7:5 6
4 Uirapuru 4 1 0 3 7:14 3
5 Acao 4 1 0 3 7:8 3
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 2025 (Play Offs)