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Uirapuru vs Cacerense

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Uirapuru
15%
Draws
40%
Cacerense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uirapuru

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Uirapuru haven't matched Cacerense's recent run of results.
  • Uirapuru are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Cacerense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cacerense, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Uirapuru Clean Sheet 20%
Cacerense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uirapuru Cacerense
Matches Played 10 29
Wins 5 10
Draws 1 5
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 2.4 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Uirapuru vs Cacerense
0:2
May 24, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Cacerense vs Uirapuru
1:2
Apr 25, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Uirapuru vs Cacerense
2:1
Jun 14, 2025 Matogrossense 2
Cacerense vs Uirapuru
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uirapuru 58 / 100
Cacerense 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uirapuru Cacerense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uirapuru Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Uirapuru scored in 70% of their last 10 outings.

Cacerense let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Uirapuru remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Uirapuru VS Cacerense
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Uirapuru

(Home)
30 May
Uirapuru
0 : 2
Cacerense
24 May
Cacerense
1 : 2
Uirapuru
17 May
Atletico MT
1 : 7
Uirapuru
02 May
Uirapuru
2 : 2
Acao
25 Apr
Uirapuru
2 : 1
Cacerense
Page 1 of 2

Cacerense

(Away)
12 Sept
Sorriso EC
1 : 2
Cacerense
07 Jun
Sinop FC
2 : 0
Cacerense
03 Jun
Cacerense
2 : 1
Sinop FC
30 May
Uirapuru
0 : 2
Cacerense
24 May
Cacerense
1 : 2
Uirapuru
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Sinop FC -
TBD -
Acao 1
Santa Cruz MT 2
Uirapuru -
TBD -
Sorriso EC 2
Cacerense 3
Semi-finals
Sinop FC 1
Santa Cruz MT 0
Uirapuru 2
Cacerense 3
Final
Sinop FC 3
Cacerense 2