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Uirapuru vs Chapada - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Uirapuru Logo

Uirapuru

0 - 2
FT
Chapada Logo

Chapada

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Uirapuru
15%
Draws
67%
Chapada
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chapada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Uirapuru haven't matched Chapada's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Chapada a 67% chance of winning this.
  • Chapada arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Chapada, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Uirapuru Clean Sheet 10%
Chapada Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uirapuru Chapada
Matches Played 18 26
Wins 6 15
Draws 3 5
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.78 1.81
Goals Conceded 2.11 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2026 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Uirapuru vs Chapada
0:2
Sep 16, 2026 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Chapada vs Uirapuru
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uirapuru 10 / 100
Chapada 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uirapuru Chapada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chapada Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uirapuru scored in 72% of their last 18 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Chapada has conceded goals in 54% of their last 26 outings.

Uirapuru went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uirapuru VS Chapada
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Uirapuru

(Home)
24 Oct
Uirapuru
0 : 2
Chapada
18 Oct
Santa Cruz MT
4 : 1
Uirapuru
10 Oct
Várzea Grande EC
1 : 2
Uirapuru
03 Oct
Uirapuru
1 : 2
Uniao Rondonopolis
30 Sept
Uniao Rondonopolis
0 : 0
Uirapuru
Page 1 of 4

Chapada

(Away)
31 Oct
Sorriso EC
0 : 1
Chapada
24 Oct
Uirapuru
0 : 2
Chapada
14 Oct
Santa Cruz MT
0 : 2
Chapada
11 Oct
Chapada
1 : 0
Uniao Rondonopolis
07 Oct
Chapada
3 : 0
Várzea Grande EC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chapada 8 6 1 1 16:4 19
2 Uniao Rondonopolis 8 5 1 2 12:7 16
3 Santa Cruz MT 8 4 0 4 17:12 12
4 Várzea Grande EC 8 2 0 6 12:25 6
5 Uirapuru 8 1 2 5 8:17 5
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuiaba 6 6 0 0 24:4 18
2 Sorriso EC 6 3 0 3 12:10 9
3 Cacerense 6 3 0 3 12:11 9
4 Campo Novo 6 0 0 6 3:26 0
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) (Play Offs)